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Second Thomas Shoal News
Prediction markets for Second Thomas Shoal
Prediction markets for Second Thomas Shoal
Will the Sierra Madre still be inhabited by Filipino Marines in 2026?
Oct 24, 5:16 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
58.19%
chance
5
45
Option
Votes
NO
YES
95
85
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2026?
Oct 24, 5:36 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
44.05%
chance
3
42
Option
Votes
YES
NO
100
81
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2027?
Oct 24, 5:37 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
46.56%
chance
2
27
Option
Votes
YES
NO
95
85
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near the Second Thomas Shoal before 2027?
Oct 24, 5:30 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
51.24%
chance
4
26
Option
Votes
NO
YES
97
82
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2030?
Oct 24, 5:37 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
54.75%
chance
1
5
Option
Votes
NO
YES
75
65
Will the Sierra Madre still be inhabited by Filipino Marines in 2027?
Oct 24, 5:17 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
54.75%
chance
1
5
Option
Votes
NO
YES
75
65
Will the Sierra Madre still be inhabited by Filipino Marines in 2030?
Oct 24, 5:18 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
45.25%
chance
1
5
Option
Votes
YES
NO
75
65
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