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Prediction markets for Section

Will the next President [Trump] be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?

Feb 10, 5:00 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

3.71%chance

75116857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3379

804

Will GPT-5 have a perfect SAT score in either section?

Mar 31, 11:37 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

89.96%chance

11917267

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2798

206

Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked against Donald Trump by his VP and cabinet during his second term?

Nov 6, 8:14 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

8.03%chance

113608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3384

295

Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?

Sep 2, 9:08 PMJan 20, 4:59 PM

8.43%chance

93027

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3297

303

Will Polymarket add PWHL as a tradeable category in their sports section by end of 2025?

Dec 4, 5:22 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM

15.21%chance

51361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2361

424

Will a fully AI generated osu! beatmap make it to the ranked section by the end of 2025?

Sep 20, 6:06 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM

39.5%chance

5371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 2 between 2020 and 2030?

Mar 14, 8:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55%chance

231

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

80

By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 3 between 2020 and 2030?

Mar 14, 8:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55.23%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

81

By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 1 between 2020 and 2030?

Mar 14, 8:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

42%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

79

63

Will Section 230 be repealed by the end of 2028?

Mar 21, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.9%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

998

Will Section 45X Advanced Manufacturing Production Tax Credit be cut in at least half by 2027?

Jul 15, 12:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will more than 50 percent of IRA Sections 45, 45Y, 48 and 48E tax credits be cut by EOY2027

Jul 15, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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