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Prediction markets for Senate Republicans

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Dec 8, 6:07 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

51.48%chance

16261142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

805

Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?

Nov 12, 8:18 PMNov 11, 1:29 PM

79.95%chance

224492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1997

501

Will Dan J. Sullivan be on the ballot as a Republican for the US Senate Primary election in Alaska?

Jun 12, 7:33 AMAug 18, 3:00 PM

56.58%chance

103564

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1036

972

Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?

Dec 8, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

183516

OptionProbability

If the nominees are Cornyn and Crockett

If the nominees are Paxton and Crockett

If the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico

If the nominees are Paxton and Talarico

87

83

61

57

Republicans win at least one of ME/MN/NC Senate seats in 2026?

Jan 8, 3:23 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

45.1%chance

141426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1229

762

If Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated?

Apr 3, 12:27 AMJan 3, 11:59 AM

48.17%chance

9982

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

964

Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)

Jan 11, 3:42 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM

45.88%chance

6817

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

921

Will an official mugshot of any current Republican senator be published before 2030?

Aug 27, 4:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.77%chance

15595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

806

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections?

Dec 8, 6:09 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

69.08%chance

14448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

873

Will an official mugshot of any current Republican senator be published before 2040?

Aug 27, 4:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.34%chance

10329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

118

Will Republicans maintain control of the US Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?

Jan 12, 1:02 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

56%chance

17258

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

89

Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?

Nov 13, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.1%chance

2170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

885

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