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Prediction markets for Senate Republicans

Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?

Aug 19, 9:50 PMNov 4, 4:59 AM

129144602

OptionProbability

Mississippi

Arkansas

Wyoming

Alabama

Oklahoma

Tennessee

West Virginia

Louisiana

South Dakota

Idaho

Kentucky

Florida (Special)

South Carolina

Montana

Kansas

Nebraska

Iowa

Texas

Ohio (Special)

Michigan

Alaska

Maine

New Hampshire

Georgia

North Carolina

Virginia

Minnesota

New Jersey

Rhode Island

Colorado

Delaware

Illinois

Massachusetts

Oregon

New Mexico

97

96

96

95

95

95

95

94

94

93

93

90

88

87

86

73

56

53

51

42

40

33

15

10

10

7

6

6

6

5

5

5

5

5

4

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Dec 8, 6:07 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

53%chance

356126993

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

834

Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?

Nov 12, 8:18 PMNov 11, 1:29 PM

89.05%chance

295954

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2852

351

Republicans win at least one of ME/MN/NC Senate seats in 2026?

Jan 8, 3:23 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

43.69%chance

171651

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1260

737

If Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated?

Apr 3, 12:27 AMJan 3, 11:59 AM

27.88%chance

121643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1608

622

Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)

Jan 11, 3:42 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM

47.83%chance

6882

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

958

If Alani Bankhead drops out of the 2026 Montana Senate race, will a Republican win?

Jul 28, 10:42 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

90.67%chance

7637

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

988

Will an official mugshot of any current Republican senator be published before 2030?

Aug 27, 4:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.77%chance

15595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

806

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections?

Dec 8, 6:09 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

69.08%chance

14448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

873

Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?

Nov 13, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.1%chance

2170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

885

Will New England have 0 Republicans in Congress (Senate + House) at end of February 2027?

Jan 26, 7:14 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

46.11%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

93

What % of the vote will the Republican get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)

Jan 25, 8:16 AMNov 4, 11:59 PM

235

OptionProbability

Kentucky (55% to 65%)

Ohio (45% to 55%)

Maine (40% to 50%)

Georgia (40% to 50%)

New Hampshire (35% to 45%)

Minnesota (40% to 50%)

50

50

48

48

42

39

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