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Prediction markets for Senate Republicans

Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?

Aug 19, 9:50 PMNov 4, 4:59 AM

5119215

OptionProbability

South Dakota

Alabama

Arkansas

Idaho

Kentucky

Montana

South Carolina

Tennessee

West Virginia

Kansas

Louisiana

Mississippi

Oklahoma

Wyoming

Florida (Special)

Iowa

Texas

Nebraska

Alaska

Ohio (Special)

Maine

Georgia

North Carolina

New Hampshire

Michigan

New Mexico

Minnesota

Virginia

New Jersey

Illinois

Colorado

Delaware

Oregon

Rhode Island

Massachusetts

96

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

94

94

94

94

94

89

78

74

67

66

59

33

25

25

23

22

12

10

10

6

5

4

4

4

4

2

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Dec 8, 6:07 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

71.26%chance

3711654

OptionVotes

NO

YES

253

155

Who will be the next Republican leader in the Senate?

Sep 7, 8:26 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

187587

OptionProbability

John Thune

Other

John Cornyn

John Barrasso

99

1

0

0

Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?

Nov 12, 8:18 PMNov 11, 1:29 PM

87.73%chance

102861

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2674

374

Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2025?

Nov 13, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.48%chance

5710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1710

585

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections?

Dec 8, 6:09 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

69.08%chance

14448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

873

Will an official mugshot of any current Republican senator be published before 2030?

Aug 27, 4:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

72.32%chance

12442

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

943

Will an official mugshot of any current Republican senator be published before 2040?

Aug 27, 4:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.34%chance

10329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

118

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2028 elections?

Dec 8, 6:08 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

46%chance

7149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

89

Who will win the 2026 Republican primary for the Kentucky senate seat?

Dec 7, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

190

OptionProbability

Daniel Cameron

Andy Barr

Other

66

26

8

Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?

Nov 13, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.01%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

980

Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2028?

Nov 13, 8:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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