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Prediction markets for Sevastopol

[Metaculus] Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?

Nov 16, 5:04 PMFeb 25, 3:00 PM

95.53%chance

204375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2059

892

What cities will change hands before the Ukraine-Russia war ends

Apr 2, 11:01 AMDec 10, 4:59 AM

263241

OptionProbability

Melitopol

Mariupol

Sevastopol

Odesa

Luhansk

Kharkiv

20

18

17

9

8

8

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