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Prediction markets for Slack

Will OpenAI have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:51 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

21.64%chance

3919226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19061

5209

Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:55 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

19.09%chance

3815918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20592

4838

Will Google Deepmind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:58 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

21.33%chance

2710339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19404

4922

Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Jun 21, 11:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

30%chance

404686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

will I vibe with a community found through this market within a year?

May 11, 9:19 PMMay 12, 7:08 PM

34.68%chance

13578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1372

729

When will the waiting list for kidney transplants in the US be eliminated?

Oct 17, 8:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12358

OptionProbability

2050 or Later

2030-2034

2040-2049

Before 2030

2035-2039

41

27

13

9

9

Will an transformer action AI (like adept.ai) be able to navigate and smoothly click all the "expand all" links to archive an entire Slack channel by 2025? (even if just via OBS Studio)

Feb 20, 7:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

82.49%chance

15236

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

953

🧑‍💻Which Websites/Apps will have a significant unintended outage due to DDOS or other reason in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]

Jan 5, 12:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6200

OptionProbability

Reddit

Facebook

Twitter/X

eBay

Manifold

PornHub

Twitch

Kick

Netflix

OnlyFans

OpenAI

LinkedIn

Discord

Spotify

Zoom

Cloudflare

Amazon

Coinbase

Steam

Instagram

Bsky

Mercury

Cash App

Duolingo

Tinder

Lyft

Uber

Shopify

Slack

Wikipedia

Chess.com

iCloud

WhatsApp

Venmo

Youtube

74

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

31

20

Will G7 countries eliminate plastic pollution by 2040?

Apr 21, 4:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.17%chance

5111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

64

Will Slack sign a partnership with OpenAI before the end of 2025?

Jan 4, 1:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.78%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

Will bits in bio slack (bitsinbio.slack.com) finally upgrade so people can have access to more than 90 days, by EOY2027?

Apr 27, 8:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.32%chance

114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will the AI alignment slack's entire history stop being accessible (eg if its paid plan on slack is discontinued by 2029

Mar 12, 4:12 AMMar 20, 3:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

111

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