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Prediction markets for Sol

Will chess be solved by 2040?

Sep 29, 2:39 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

10.45%chance

2342005142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3680

1395

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

44.98%chance

243209490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1197

1059

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.54%chance

94161291

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111995

17147

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.36%chance

321112138

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

928

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32%chance

22399865

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4809

127

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

26.23%chance

9231249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

969

966

Will at least 80 percent of solar modules deployed in the US in 2026 be manufactured in the US?

Aug 11, 3:53 AMOct 1, 3:59 AM

16.41%chance

6821620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22296

4846

Will anyone solve my partner's depression before 2027? [M$1,000,000 bounty]

Sep 29, 5:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.23%chance

4010368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17681

5656

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

29.98%chance

217286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15272

6552

Will sol close above 100$ in February 2026

Feb 10, 1:01 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

5.88%chance

1300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

400

25

Will Sol Ring be banned in Commander before 2030?

Oct 24, 6:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.17%chance

4290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

390

26

Will there be a trend spike for the term "Sol Invictus" before 2035?

May 21, 9:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.95%chance

7213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

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