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Prediction markets for Sol

Will chess be solved by 2040?

Sep 29, 2:39 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

9.42%chance

2432006805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4019

1358

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 6:33 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

48.58%chance

252212045

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1272

974

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.51%chance

100162243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108965

17813

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36%chance

228106351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4819

106

Will all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

Apr 3, 8:20 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

25.98%chance

9331314

OptionVotes

YES

NO

975

966

Will at least 80 percent of solar modules deployed in the US in 2026 be manufactured in the US?

Aug 11, 3:53 AMOct 1, 3:59 AM

16.41%chance

6821620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22296

4846

Will anyone solve my partner's depression before 2027? [M$1,000,000 bounty]

Sep 29, 5:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.5%chance

4312501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17554

5697

Will the sky be clear in Sydney during the 2028 total solar eclipse?

Mar 8, 3:07 AMJul 22, 11:59 PM

58.13%chance

187433

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11782

8487

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

29.98%chance

217286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15272

6552

Will SOL reach $1000?

Mar 3, 8:17 AMApr 2, 8:17 AM

1%chance

31116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Will Sol Ring be banned in Commander before 2030?

Oct 24, 6:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.49%chance

5315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

415

24

Will there be a trend spike for the term "Sol Invictus" before 2035?

May 21, 9:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.95%chance

7213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

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