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Prediction markets for Solar System
will human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?
Nov 7, 12:59 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM
33.92%chance
2820856
OptionVotes
6124
5575
Does extraterrestrial life at least as complex as a fly exist anywhere in the solar system?
Dec 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
5.47%chance
514032
OptionVotes
2069
857
OptionVotes
971
945
OptionProbability
74
25
1
0
0
0
0
0
Will a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
Jan 10, 11:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.64%chance
302388
OptionVotes
998
809
Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075?
Apr 17, 2:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
71.32%chance
231131
OptionVotes
1155
914
Will life be found in the deep biosphere of any other solar system bodies before 2035?
Oct 12, 3:16 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
5.59%chance
61051
OptionVotes
411
24
By the end of 2040, will there be strong evidence of life (of non-terrestrial origin) in our solar system?
Feb 5, 1:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33%chance
19854
OptionVotes
1100
633
Will alien technological artefacts be discovered in the Solar System through 2050?
Sep 9, 7:28 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
10.96%chance
17504
OptionVotes
220
101
Is there extraterrestrial life within 10 light years from the solar system?
Feb 11, 3:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
20.71%chance
10359
OptionVotes
237
92
Will humans visit the Outer Solar System before Halley's Comet returns?
Jan 28, 5:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
63.85%chance
8230
OptionVotes
207
82
OptionProbability
28
19
15
11
10
8
7
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0