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Prediction markets for South LA

Pacific Coast Highway: can it be driven from SF to LA on these days? (CA Route 1 closures/washouts/fires), til 2030

Jan 9, 9:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

97452

OptionProbability

March 1 2026

May 1 2026

July 1 2026

Jan 1 2027

July 1 2027

July 1 2028

Jan 1 2028

Jan 1 2029

July 1 2029

July 1 2025

Jan 1 2026

Sep 1 2025

Dec 1 2025

March 1 2025

June 1 2025

August 1 2025

100

100

100

80

80

71

63

63

62

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026?

Feb 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.41%chance

71886

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2656

376

Will South Carolina H.3492 (partially refundable EITC) be signed into law in 2026?

Mar 15, 5:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

3.39%chance

51045

OptionVotes

YES

NO

986

196

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

Dec 9, 11:44 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

47.26%chance

15297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

87

Will Jet Lag: The Game return to South Korea before 2028?

Oct 16, 8:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.36%chance

8149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Will the US or Israel strike Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain nuclear site before Oct 1, 2027?

Sep 9, 4:27 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

58.78%chance

9105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

84

Will at least one country besides South Korea enact Sending Party Network Pays (SPNP) laws/taxes before Jan 1st 2030?

Dec 6, 11:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.6%chance

875

OptionVotes

NO

YES

228

139

>1k acres of public lands south of San Mateo County [eg Rancho Corral de Tierra] turned into private land btwn [2025-8]?

Nov 12, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.24%chance

351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in South Dakota's at-large district?

Nov 6, 3:26 AMNov 8, 12:00 PM

13

OptionProbability

Republican Party

Democratic Party

Other

98

2

1

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