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Prediction markets for South LA

Will Joe Biden walk unaided to the helicopter on the South Lawn on his last day in office?

Aug 9, 7:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.4%chance

327118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3699

505

Pacific Coast Highway: can it be driven from SF to LA on these days? (CA Route 1 closures/washouts/fires), til 2030

Jan 9, 9:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

96138

OptionProbability

May 1 2026

Jan 1 2027

July 1 2027

July 1 2026

March 1 2026

July 1 2028

Jan 1 2028

Jan 1 2029

July 1 2029

Sep 1 2025

Jan 1 2026

Dec 1 2025

August 1 2025

July 1 2025

March 1 2025

June 1 2025

80

80

80

79

76

74

63

63

63

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will Jet Lag: The Game return to South Korea before 2028?

Oct 16, 8:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.18%chance

380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

157

64

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

Dec 9, 11:44 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

70.95%chance

679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

84

Will at least one country besides South Korea enact Sending Party Network Pays (SPNP) laws/taxes before Jan 1st 2030?

Dec 6, 11:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.6%chance

875

OptionVotes

NO

YES

228

139

>1k acres of public lands south of San Mateo County [eg Rancho Corral de Tierra] turned into private land btwn [2025-8]?

Nov 12, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.5%chance

342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 28th State Senate district

Jun 16, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

Lola Smallwood-Cuevas (incumbent)

Other

59

41

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