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Prediction markets for South LA

Pacific Coast Highway: can it be driven from SF to LA on these days? (CA Route 1 closures/washouts/fires), til 2030

Jan 9, 9:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

97452

OptionProbability

March 1 2026

May 1 2026

July 1 2026

Jan 1 2027

July 1 2027

July 1 2028

Jan 1 2028

Jan 1 2029

July 1 2029

July 1 2025

Jan 1 2026

Sep 1 2025

Dec 1 2025

March 1 2025

June 1 2025

August 1 2025

100

100

100

80

80

71

63

63

62

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the US or Israel attack Pickaxe Mountain in Iran before Sep 1, 2026

Jul 21, 7:22 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

20.41%chance

10324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

51

Will South Carolina H.3492 (partially refundable EITC) be signed into law in 2026?

Mar 15, 5:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

7.52%chance

4319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

483

223

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

Dec 9, 11:44 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

62.63%chance

13255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

99

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 28th State Senate district

Jun 16, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2170

OptionProbability

Lola Smallwood-Cuevas (incumbent)

Other

88

12

Will Jet Lag: The Game return to South Korea before 2028?

Oct 16, 8:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74%chance

5103

OptionVotes

NO

YES

169

59

Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026?

Feb 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.84%chance

280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

926

Will at least one country besides South Korea enact Sending Party Network Pays (SPNP) laws/taxes before Jan 1st 2030?

Dec 6, 11:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.6%chance

875

OptionVotes

NO

YES

228

139

>1k acres of public lands south of San Mateo County [eg Rancho Corral de Tierra] turned into private land btwn [2025-8]?

Nov 12, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.24%chance

351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

90

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