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Prediction markets for South LA

Pacific Coast Highway: can it be driven from SF to LA on these days? (CA Route 1 closures/washouts/fires), til 2030

Jan 9, 9:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

96153

OptionProbability

May 1 2026

July 1 2026

March 1 2026

Jan 1 2027

July 1 2027

July 1 2028

Jan 1 2028

Jan 1 2029

July 1 2029

Sep 1 2025

Jan 1 2026

Dec 1 2025

August 1 2025

July 1 2025

March 1 2025

June 1 2025

82

82

81

80

80

74

63

63

63

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will Jet Lag: The Game return to South Korea before 2028?

Oct 16, 8:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74%chance

5103

OptionVotes

NO

YES

169

59

Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026?

Feb 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.84%chance

280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

926

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

Dec 9, 11:44 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

70.95%chance

679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

84

Will at least one country besides South Korea enact Sending Party Network Pays (SPNP) laws/taxes before Jan 1st 2030?

Dec 6, 11:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.6%chance

875

OptionVotes

NO

YES

228

139

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 28th State Senate district

Jun 16, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

270

OptionProbability

Lola Smallwood-Cuevas (incumbent)

Other

74

26

>1k acres of public lands south of San Mateo County [eg Rancho Corral de Tierra] turned into private land btwn [2025-8]?

Nov 12, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.5%chance

342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Will South Carolina H.3492 (partially refundable EITC) be signed into law in 2026?

Mar 15, 5:33 PMJun 1, 5:33 PM

20.65%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

265

180

Will South Carolina H.4216 (income tax reform) be signed into law in 2026?

Mar 15, 5:36 PMJun 1, 5:36 PM

30%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

250

250

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