State News

Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?

Aug 13, 7:21 PMNov 26, 11:59 PM

531461058

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance (Vice President)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

AOC (NY Representative)

Marco Rubio (US SoS)

Pete Buttigieg (Secretary of Transportation)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Donald Trump (45th President)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Cory Booker (NJ Senator)

Ruben Gallego (AZ Senator)

Tulsi Gabbard (DNI)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Stephen A. Smith

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)

Will the United States go back to normally issue J-1 student visas for latinos by 2026?

Jun 1, 9:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.58%chance

120257449

OptionVotes

YES

133146

28854

Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?

Aug 18, 4:14 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

465224766

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Kamala Harris

Donald Trump

Gretchen Whitmer

JB Pritzker

Jamie Dimon

Mark Kelly

None

Ron DeSantis

Andy Beshear

Nikki Haley

Michelle Obama

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

Tulsi Gabbard

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump Jr.

Tim Walz

John Fetterman

Mark Cuban

Ruben Gallego

Vivek Ramaswamy

Joe Biden

Tim Scott

Katie Hobbs

Greg Abbott

Elizabeth Warren

Mike Johnson

Ted Cruz

Mike Pence

Jared Polis

Ivanka Trump

Elon Musk

Sam Altman

Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson

Elise Stefanik

Kristi Noem

Nicole Shanahan

Scott Alexander

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Aella

George Clooney

Tom Hanks

Steven Pinker

Patrick Stewart

George R R Martin

Noah Smith

Matt Yglesias

Kanye West

Doug Burgum

Jeff Jackson

Glenn Youngkin

Barack Obama

Oprah Winfrey

Hillary Clinton

Joe Rogan

Ro Khanna

State Farm announces it is leaving the California residential insurance market, announcement before December 31, 2025

Feb 15, 2:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.74%chance

38209665

OptionVotes

YES

241554

20185

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM

16173011

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance (Vice President)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)

Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Donald Trump Jr.

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Mark Cuban

Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)

Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)

Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)

John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Dec 5, 4:35 PMJan 23, 4:59 AM

4.35%chance

6067803

OptionVotes

YES

48055

4101

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Nov 6, 4:14 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

20.42%chance

7944401

OptionVotes

YES

11671

6645

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.91%chance

9443785

OptionVotes

YES

1046

921

Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?

Jul 3, 3:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.6%chance

1313626

OptionVotes

YES

10535

9447

Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?

Dec 7, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

106984

OptionVotes

YES

12247

8165

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Jun 26, 8:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

47.84%chance

125581

OptionVotes

YES

10661

9352

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

47.66%chance

52539

OptionVotes

YES

10480

9542

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Prediction markets for State

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Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?

Will the United States go back to normally issue J-1 student visas for latinos by 2026?

Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?

State Farm announces it is leaving the California residential insurance market, announcement before December 31, 2025

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Will gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?

Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

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