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Top stories

Kenya Awards Aga Khan V Highest Civilian Honour During Nairobi Visit

Kenya Awards Aga Khan V Highest Civilian Honour During Nairobi Visit

Authors

3

3 months ago

White House Invites Indiana GOP Lawmakers Including Speaker Huston and President Bray to August 26 Meeting on 2026 Redistricting

US Domestic Policy

White House Invites Indiana GOP Lawmakers Including Speaker Huston and President Bray to August 26 Meeting on 2026 Redistricting

Authors

8

4 months ago

Kenya High Court Suspends State House Church Plan for 81 Days

Kenya High Court Suspends State House Church Plan for 81 Days

Authors

3

3 months ago

Bodycam Footage Shows Mass. Rep. John Lawn’s July Drunk-Driving Arrest

Authors

4

4 months ago

Prediction markets for State House

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

18.84%chance

316241647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1792

1079

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

5723488

OptionProbability

R Senate, D House

Democrats Sweep

Republicans Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

54

28

16

1

1

Will the United States have more than 2,500,000 households without power before the end of 2025?

Jan 20, 4:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.29%chance

2311422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

255

39

Will the United States have more than 1,000,000 households without power before the end of 2025 (starting April 30th)?

Apr 30, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.52%chance

198486

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2098

477

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

Dems+GOP at all times hold >96% of each: US House, Senate, Governors, and state legislatures

Sep 6, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93%chance

5801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

356

101

Will at least 75% of households in the United States own a car in 2035?

Jan 16, 11:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.19%chance

15404

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

950

Will the United States be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Mar 28, 2:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.36%chance

11339

OptionVotes

NO

YES

205

172

Will Xi Jinping be a guest of honor at a White House State Dinner by the end of 2028?

Jan 9, 9:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.64%chance

15107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

120

Conditional on a large-scale nuclear exchange involving the continental United States, will my house be hit with an EMP severe enough to damage any of our electronics?

Oct 6, 5:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

35.26%chance

997

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

190

Will Donald J Trump visit the Massachusetts State House Capitol by EOY2028?

Feb 21, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.71%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

3989

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