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Statue of Liberty News

    Prediction markets for Statue of Liberty

    Me in NYC, prop bets

    May 5, 9:10 PMSep 1, 3:59 AM
    6915913

    OptionProbability

    I visit Times Square

    A friend from [city] comes to NYC and I see them

    I explore the High Line

    At least 20 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market

    I attend an OBNYC meetup

    I visit the New York Public Library

    I visit the Empire State Building

    I see a Broadway show

    I visit the Statue of Liberty

    I am at least moderately homesick

    I meet someone I've met before at [company]

    I see a rat (rattus norvegicus)

    I eat a new york bagel

    At least 50 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market

    I explore Central Park

    I really like the city

    I gain the desire to move to NYC

    I see a horse

    I visit the Met

    I visit the MoMA

    I gain a romantic interest

    I cry at some point

    I get a good intuition for what a Kan extension is

    I start using at least one "New York ism" in my regular speech

    I lose 5 lbs

    I visit the Guggenheim Museum

    I visit the American Museum of Natural History

    At least 100 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market

    I kiss someone

    I witness a man arguing passionately with no one

    I meet someone I think is smarter than anyone I have ever met before

    I hail a cab

    I wish I had spent more time doing tourist-y things

    Someone signs up primarily to bet in this market

    I see at least 4 protests

    I resolve a proposition in this market incorrectly

    I eat at least 10 meals of plain white rice

    My opinion of the United States changes significantly in valence

    I eat a bagel with lox and cream cheese from Russ & Daughters

    I gain at least 5lbs of weight

    I eat something from a street cart that costs less than $5

    I attend a pride parade

    I play chess in a park

    I actively participate in or actively attend a political rally or political protest

    I explore Coney Island

    I hail a cab in a way that could plausibly be mistaken for a nazi salute

    I hear someone say "I'm walkin' here!" unironically

    I regret making this market

    I witness a violent crime

    I solve a millennium problem

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    74

    72

    67

    67

    64

    64

    56

    56

    54

    54

    51

    50

    50

    48

    46

    45

    45

    45

    44

    43

    43

    42

    40

    40

    40

    25

    24

    23

    21

    21

    18

    15

    11

    10

    5

    1

    OptionProbability

    Kerch Bridge (Crimea)

    Yamal-Europe Pipeline

    Belo Monte Dam (Brazil)

    Guri Dam (Venezuela)

    Itaipu Dam (Brazil and Paraguay)

    Vatican City

    Suez Canal (Egypt)

    Xiluodu Dam (China)

    Baihetan Dam (China)

    Three Gorges Dam (China)

    The Great Sphinx of Giza (Egypt)

    Panama Canal (Panama)

    Golden Gate Bridge (United States)

    Statue of Liberty (US)

    The Empire State Building (US)

    The Louvre (Paris, France)

    Channel Tunnel (UK and France)

    Hoover Dam (US)

    Port of Houston (US)

    World Trade Center (New York, US)

    Eiffel Tower (Paris, France)

    The Holland Tunnel (The tunnel under the Hudson River) (NYC to NJ, US)

    97

    35

    26

    25

    24

    24

    20

    19

    17

    17

    16

    15

    12

    12

    12

    12

    11

    10

    10

    10

    10

    9

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    995

    10

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    426

    179

    Statue of Liberty still standing by 2045?

    Apr 9, 8:38 PMApr 9, 10:59 PM
    83.16%chance
    13248

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    222

    45

    Will Havan IPO until 2030?

    Feb 16, 3:50 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
    57.63%chance
    230

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    74

    66

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