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Prediction markets for Strait of Hormuz

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]

Jun 24, 4:08 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

1%chance

2212846

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9950

101

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? [Polymarket]

Jun 29, 8:49 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

19%chance

389307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1644

73

Will there be a food shortage related to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz?

Mar 7, 4:27 PMDec 31, 4:21 PM

46.06%chance

495288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1082

924

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.

Jun 30, 4:51 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

46.01%chance

172037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

923

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by March 31st 2027? [Polymarket]

Aug 20, 5:15 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

34.24%chance

131796

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1386

722

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May 31st 2027? [Polymarket]

Aug 31, 2:30 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

42.66%chance

121577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1159

863

If the Strait of Hormuz shows as closed, will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 Midterms?

Aug 9, 10:35 PMNov 3, 11:59 AM

65%chance

171529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1363

734

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30th 2027? [Polymarket]

Aug 24, 5:40 PMApr 29, 11:59 PM

38.77%chance

151301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

796

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by January 31? [Polymarket]

Aug 7, 5:00 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

25.59%chance

151166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1705

586

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by February 28th 2027? [Polymarket]

Aug 13, 1:36 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

29.36%chance

161083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1551

645

Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of July 2027?

Aug 26, 9:25 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

46.66%chance

5177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1069

935

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June 30th 2027? [Polymarket]

Sep 8, 1:38 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

49.25%chance

7170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

985

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