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Prediction markets for Strava

Will Sam Wendover "die" on 6/12/2025? (broad criteria)

Feb 22, 5:00 AMAug 13, 6:59 AM

20%chance

444815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will I manage to achieve a sub-45 min 10k before @diadematus and 2026?

Jan 21, 7:40 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

80.34%chance

84691

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2022

495

How fast will I run in the 5k by August 25, 2025?

Mar 5, 1:35 AMAug 26, 6:59 AM

21983

OptionProbability

Faster than 21:00

Faster than 20:00

Faster than 19:00

Faster than 18:00

Faster than 17:00

95

93

55

8

1

Will Strava add scuba and/or free diving to their app?

Dec 12, 5:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.79%chance

8626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

383

7

My Strava running miles in August 2025?

Aug 1, 4:06 AMSep 1, 11:59 PM

4355

Will I complete the Ultra Trail de Mont Blanc before 2027?

Dec 17, 7:15 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

37.68%chance

4250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

64

Will I successfully complete an Ironman triathlon before 2027?

Dec 17, 7:17 PMJan 17, 12:00 AM

56%chance

10171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1013

973

Will I run a ultramarathon by 2025?

Oct 14, 9:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

61.2%chance

453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

95

84

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