OptionProbability
Austin
Atlanta
San Jose
Mountain View
Palo Alto
Los Altos
Sunnyvale
San Diego, CA
Miami
Dallas
Las Vegas
Tucson
New York
Houston, TX
Charlotte
Albuquerque
San Antonio, TX
Sacramento
Boston, MA
Chicago
Jacksonville, FL
Washington DC
Philadelphia, PA
100
91
81
59
14
13
12
11
7
6
5
4
3
1
IPO actually happens in 2025
IPO actually happens in 2026
At end of first day trading, valuation >10b
At end of first day trading, valuation >50b
Has over 1000 employees at IPO time.
Out of business by mid 2027
Is purchased by another company by mid 2028
Officially confirmed that their chips are used by OpenAI, Anthropic, or DeepSeek, with a value of at least 100m USD, by mid 2028
+2 years from IPO, valuation is >100b
+3 years from IPO, the CEO is still in place (from IPO time)
The CEO Andrew Feldman has a wikipedia page active on the IPO day
IPO actually happens in 2027
Any of their CEOs visits the Qhite House, til mid 2027, media proof required*
Cerebras sells a consumer product, <10k usd, in US by mid 2027
HQ moves farther than 50 miles from sunnyvale city hall
55
50
48
Aisha Wahab (Democratic, Incumbent)
Other
63
37
