OptionProbability
Officially confirmed that their chips are used by OpenAI, Anthropic, or DeepSeek, with a value of at least 100m USD, by mid 2028
IPO actually happens in 2026
At end of first day trading, valuation >10b
+3 years from IPO, the CEO is still in place (from IPO time)
HQ moves farther than 50 miles from sunnyvale city hall
+2 years from IPO, valuation is >100b
Has over 1000 employees at IPO time.
The CEO Andrew Feldman has a wikipedia page active on the IPO day
Is purchased by another company by mid 2028
Any of their CEOs visits the Qhite House, til mid 2027, media proof required*
Cerebras sells a consumer product, <10k usd, in US by mid 2027
Out of business by mid 2027
At end of first day trading, valuation >50b
IPO actually happens in 2027
IPO actually happens in 2025
100
93
74
50
48
45
37
31
20
18
14
1
Other
Scott Sakakihara
Carmen Montano
Aisha Wahab (Democratic, Incumbent)
51
24
13
12
