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Prediction markets for Tal

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86%chance

497197634

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5223

1087

In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Feb 20, 10:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

93.41%chance

46499576

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9124

908

In which year will Nassim Nicholas Taleb publish his next book

Jun 15, 4:05 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

422479

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

Aug 13, 1:00 PMAug 13, 10:59 PM

58.98%chance

15922390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3832

2876

Will AI allow us to talk to animals by 2034?

May 26, 12:16 PMMay 26, 1:59 PM

66.45%chance

486266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1407

711

Will Destiny talk to Joe Rogan before the end of 2025?

Mar 11, 5:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.07%chance

323855

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3963

63

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?

Sep 24, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

36.43%chance

513816

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1121

710

In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Mar 17, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.66%chance

20926

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

881

Will there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?

Aug 17, 3:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.42%chance

23749

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

788

In 2028, will at least 100m Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Mar 17, 7:03 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.36%chance

16677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

879

There would be an NBA player over 8ft tall by 2045

Aug 5, 11:13 PMAug 13, 4:59 AM

30%chance

3625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

Will Talmadge Johnson (Bryan Johnson's son) rebel against his father while they're both alive?

Jan 23, 4:17 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

51.48%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

976

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