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Top stories

Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel

Daley, LaHood Lead Illinois Ballot Drive to Shift Redistricting to 12-Member Panel

Authors

12

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Texas Republicans

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84.96%chance

182044

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2377

421

How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?

Jul 25, 2:50 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

61995

OptionProbability

29-30

24

25

26

19-21

27

22

23

28

31-33

14-18

34-38

9-13

0-8

22

10

10

9

7

7

6

6

6

6

5

4

2

1

Who Will Win the 2026 Republican Primary Election for US Senate in Texas?

Nov 10, 12:49 AMNov 11, 5:59 AM

9982

OptionProbability

Ken Paxton

John Cornyn

Wesley Hunt

Other

Ronny Jackson

Eric Johnson

Chip Roy

Dan Patrick

Louie Gohmert

Allen West

Dan Crenshaw

51

45

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.55%chance

18408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

914

Will the republican party win the 2026 texas gubernatorial election?

May 31, 4:48 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

85.83%chance

8254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

238

66

Will any furry convention be cancelled or moved for political reasons by the end of 2026?

Mar 15, 6:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.08%chance

10212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

66

How many of the redrawn Texas districts will Democrats win, out of the attempted Democrat to GOP flips?

Oct 25, 12:46 AMNov 10, 11:59 PM

16

OptionProbability

1

2

0

3

4

5

18

18

17

17

15

15

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