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Top stories

Rep. Lloyd Doggett Ends 30-Year House Career After Texas Redistricting Amid Court Review, Clearing Way for Rep. Greg Casar; GOP's Briscoe Cain Runs

Rep. Lloyd Doggett Ends 30-Year House Career After Texas Redistricting Amid Court Review, Clearing Way for Rep. Greg Casar; GOP's Briscoe Cain Runs

Authors

8

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Texas State House

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

84%chance

2914019

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2291

436

Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024?

Aug 14, 1:20 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

96%chance

114821

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

39

When will Texas "Turn Purple"

Sep 27, 3:49 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

504546

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2045-2049

2050 or later

Before 2025

54

29

13

2

2

1

California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?

Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.58%chance

281696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1378

717

Who will controls the house of representatives after 2026 midterms

Jan 5, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

261203

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Independents

90

10

0

Will Trump/Vance give Ken Paxton a position/title in the federal govt?

Mar 4, 8:03 PMJan 20, 12:00 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will there be a new TRIUMPH OF THE WILL -like film centered on MAGA/Trump by EOY2028?

Jan 20, 9:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.87%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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