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Prediction markets for The Line

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.1%chance

455323493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2699

2492

Will more than 100,000 people live in a line-shaped city in Saudi Arabia in 2035? eg The Line

Jan 31, 12:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.85%chance

4017997

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

850

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.26%chance

2411233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11928

1118

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Sep 15, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.36%chance

826609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1175

641

Will Google discontinue the Chromecast product line by the end of 2025 without offering a replacement?

Sep 30, 9:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.45%chance

313911

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1900

766

Will Optimus be used on the Optimus assembly line before the end of 2025?

Nov 23, 6:53 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

23.16%chance

192186

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1822

549

What will be the population of “The Line” in 2033?

Jul 19, 12:40 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

61.78%chance

131284

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1002

983

Will a train line be in operation by Jan 1st 2040 that uses room-temperature superconductivity to levitate the train?

Aug 3, 6:55 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

17.69%chance

26986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

968

Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?

Sep 6, 10:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.98%chance

14627

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

963

Will I restrict my food-buying behaviour in line with the rules of this market until the end of the year?

Jan 20, 2:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.97%chance

9518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

980

Will the YIMBY/NIMBY divide line up with political affiliation in the USA before 2027?

Feb 9, 7:52 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

28.91%chance

15221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

964

How will SANDAG prevent the LA/SD rail line from falling into the Pacific?

Jul 24, 12:13 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

00

OptionProbability

San Dieguito Bridge to I-5 (tunnel)

under Crest Canyon (tunnel)

under Camino Del Mar (tunnel)

double-track & reinforce existing route on Del Mar Bluffs (no tunnel)

don't do anything ("no build")

20

20

20

20

20

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