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Prediction markets for The Sphere

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2100?

Dec 26, 6:00 PMMar 2, 10:59 PM

18%chance

8121782

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

839

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2070?

Dec 17, 11:18 AMMar 3, 10:59 PM

11.36%chance

6518150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1161

955

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2030?

Dec 22, 2:21 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

1%chance

5515121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4270

898

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2080?

Dec 18, 12:31 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

11.82%chance

4910886

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1204

946

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2090?

Dec 19, 1:05 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

17.56%chance

5110675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

876

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2110?

Dec 29, 12:05 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

20%chance

248933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

229

141

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2050?

Dec 20, 11:09 AMJan 21, 10:59 PM

8%chance

397133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

836

Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2060?

Dec 15, 9:37 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

11.03%chance

496365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

965

911

Will the technology to make a Dyson sphere exist by 2040?

Nov 3, 3:04 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.42%chance

314597

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1122

817

Conditional on AGI being developed before 2029, will there be a dyson sphere around the Sun before 2030?

Jun 23, 6:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.47%chance

11665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

380

26

Will there be another UFC event at the Las Vegas Sphere after UFC 306 by 2050?

Sep 5, 9:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

68.78%chance

8638

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1484

674

Will UFC host another event in the MSG Sphere in last Vegas before 2028?

Sep 16, 7:43 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

56.68%chance

2151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1144

874

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