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Thermo News
Prediction markets for Thermo
Prediction markets for Thermo
Did Stephen Wolfram solve the second law of thermodynamics?
May 25, 12:10 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
4.75%
chance
28
5207
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4479
223
Will the second law of thermodynamics get a revision before 2030
Mar 15, 9:04 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4.68%
chance
23
3132
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1527
933
Will Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?
Mar 30, 11:57 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
36.47%
chance
15
1225
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1128
625
Will the first law of thermodynamics get a revision before 2030
Mar 14, 6:58 PM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
7.5%
chance
32
1175
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1435
926
Lightcell receives ≥$1M government thermophotovoltaic contract/grant by 2027?
Jun 22, 8:20 PM
Dec 31, 9:19 PM
24.62%
chance
2
810
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1750
571
Will Extropic AI demonstrate a working thermo-chip by 2050?
Apr 28, 10:45 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
67.86%
chance
8
470
Option
Votes
NO
YES
274
73
Longtermist Policymaking provokes Thermonuclear War by 1st Jan 2028
Aug 11, 11:42 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
10.9%
chance
10
391
Option
Votes
YES
NO
464
144
Will Marc N. Casper (CEO of Thermo Fisher Scientific) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 14, 11:34 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
7.39%
chance
6
289
Option
Votes
YES
NO
359
104
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