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Prediction markets for Union Territories

Russian attacks or invades Latvia by mid 2026

Mar 1, 11:42 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

6.31%chance

345137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2731

760

Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2026

Mar 1, 11:43 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

2.53%chance

283531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3251

848

Russian attacks or invades Lithuania by mid 2026

Mar 1, 11:41 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

4.41%chance

162550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

870

143

Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2029

Jan 13, 5:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.21%chance

111859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2361

424

China attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028

Mar 5, 12:47 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

13.47%chance

211706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

926

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

79.82%chance

361358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

790

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states until 2050?

Dec 21, 5:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

60.39%chance

20724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

943

Will the United States have a number of states other than 50 before 2030?

Oct 24, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.14%chance

11642

OptionVotes

YES

NO

399

134

When will Canada break apart?

May 1, 5:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12634

OptionProbability

No breakup / none of these years

Between 2035 and 2039

Between 2040 and 2044

Between 2030 and 2034

Between 2025 and 2029

67

11

9

8

5

How many UN members will recognize Somaliland at the end of 2026?

Dec 30, 1:08 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7357

OptionProbability

4 +

3

0–1

2

35

26

21

19

By the end of 2027 will there be a new state or a new union territory in the Republic of India?

Aug 8, 8:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.49%chance

7153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

135

Will the next state to be added to the Union include territories of 2023's the District of Columbia?

Apr 8, 4:56 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

37.51%chance

324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

76

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