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Prediction markets for Union Territories

Russian attacks or invades Latvia by mid 2026

Mar 1, 11:42 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

4.24%chance

367803

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3831

700

Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2026

Mar 1, 11:43 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

2.53%chance

283531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3251

848

Will Donald Trump carry out an invasion of Greenland before 2029?

Feb 27, 6:35 PMJan 4, 11:59 PM

16.74%chance

162498

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

45

Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2029

Jan 13, 5:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.21%chance

111859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2361

424

China attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028

Mar 5, 12:47 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

13.47%chance

211706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

926

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

79.82%chance

361358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

790

Will there be a 51st state in the USA before 2026?

Feb 17, 5:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

0.83%chance

131282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1094

9

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states until 2050?

Dec 21, 5:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

60.39%chance

20724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

943

How many UN members will recognize Somaliland at the end of 2026?

Dec 30, 1:08 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

8472

OptionProbability

0–1

2

3

4 +

57

30

7

6

US and EU form transatlantic superstate by 2050?

Apr 30, 8:44 AMJan 2, 10:59 PM

9%chance

9297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

327

32

By the end of 2027 will there be a new state or a new union territory in the Republic of India?

Aug 8, 8:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.49%chance

7153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

135

Will the next state to be added to the Union include territories of 2023's the District of Columbia?

Apr 8, 4:56 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

37.51%chance

324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

76

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