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Prediction markets for Union Territories

Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2029

Jan 13, 5:12 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

23.22%chance

193796

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1819

550

Will Donald Trump carry out an invasion of Greenland before 2029?

Feb 27, 6:35 PMJan 4, 11:59 PM

5.11%chance

192719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

431

23

China attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028

Mar 5, 12:47 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

8.49%chance

282376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1758

852

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

79.82%chance

361358

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

790

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states until 2050?

Dec 21, 5:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.94%chance

22870

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1073

893

How many UN members will recognize Somaliland at the end of 2026?

Dec 30, 1:08 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

8692

OptionProbability

0–1

2

3

4 +

74

19

5

2

Will the United States have a number of states other than 50 before 2030?

Oct 24, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.48%chance

12655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

359

139

Will Maine join the EU before 2060?

Jun 22, 6:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.19%chance

5405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

389

26

Russian attacks or invades Estonia by mid 2029

Jul 1, 6:03 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

16.54%chance

8178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

45

By the end of 2027 will there be a new state or a new union territory in the Republic of India?

Aug 8, 8:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.49%chance

7153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

135

Will Croatia forcefully draft its citizens before 2060

Mar 11, 8:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.31%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

86

Will the next state to be added to the Union include territories of 2023's the District of Columbia?

Apr 8, 4:56 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

37.51%chance

324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

76

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