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Prediction markets for Union Territory

Russian attacks or invades Latvia by mid 2026

Mar 1, 11:42 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

11.3%chance

322545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1634

861

China attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028

Mar 5, 12:47 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.23%chance

191241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1628

865

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:48 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

74.01%chance

351164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

600

Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2026

Mar 1, 11:43 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

10.17%chance

20992

OptionVotes

NO

YES

967

849

Russia attacks or invades China mainland by mid 2028

Mar 1, 11:44 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

3.9%chance

10619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

899

187

Will the United States have a number of states other than 50 before 2030?

Oct 24, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.28%chance

9535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

365

138

Will the United States of America consist of 50 states until 2050?

Dec 21, 5:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

56.62%chance

20474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

972

US and EU form transatlantic superstate by 2050?

Apr 30, 8:44 AMJan 2, 10:59 PM

8%chance

7295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

339

29

When will Canada break apart?

May 1, 5:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11288

OptionProbability

No breakup / none of these years

Between 2035 and 2039

Between 2030 and 2034

Between 2040 and 2044

Between 2025 and 2029

62

14

10

8

6

By the end of 2027 will there be a new state or a new union territory in the Republic of India?

Aug 8, 8:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.49%chance

7153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

135

Will any of these countries enter into a pact similar to the Falepili Union with a Pacific Island country before 2030?

Nov 10, 12:10 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

146

OptionProbability

New Zealand

Japan

China

USA

Papua New Guinea

Indonesia

Philippines

Taiwan

France

UK

Chile

78

75

59

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

Will the next state to be added to the Union include territories of 2023's the District of Columbia?

Apr 8, 4:56 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

37.51%chance

324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

76

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