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Prediction markets for United Nations

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2027?

Apr 18, 8:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.62%chance

404489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3475

1633

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2029?

Apr 18, 8:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.76%chance

484037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

829

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15%chance

312810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1844

761

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2026?

Jun 13, 12:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9%chance

182765

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3180

314

Will Mike Waltz be confirmed as Ambassador to the United Nations?

May 6, 8:16 PMDec 31, 9:14 PM

86.04%chance

212273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2482

403

Will a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?

Nov 13, 11:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

63.62%chance

241280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1168

856

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

46.74%chance

14929

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

937

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state before Ukraine joins NATO?

Apr 19, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.22%chance

23863

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1122

940

Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman becomes Secretary General of the United Nations?

Apr 1, 2:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.97%chance

18690

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

839

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?

Dec 26, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

73%chance

16406

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1137

931

Catastrophic decline of United Nations by 2035?

Oct 25, 2:00 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

39.06%chance

7365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

801

Will there be a woman secretary of the United Nations before the end of 2045?

Apr 1, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.85%chance

13233

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1182

917

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