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Prediction markets for US Gulf

Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?

Mar 8, 5:18 PMDec 31, 5:13 PM

3615242

OptionProbability

Before 2027

Before April 2026

Before May 2026

Before June 2026

26

0

0

0

Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026

Feb 2, 11:37 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

85.92%chance

415204

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1910

754

Will Brent crude oil settle at or above $100/barrel on any trading day before July 1, 2026?

Jun 6, 6:50 PMJul 1, 4:00 AM

3.49%chance

272028

OptionVotes

YES

NO

578

34

Will Iran retaliate against the US naval blockade by July 1 2026?

Apr 14, 5:37 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

6.76%chance

271130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

254

6

What will occur first, public discourse of aliens, Half life 3,legal cannabis (US), elder scrolls 6, Gulf stream fails

Jul 31, 9:18 PMJun 30, 3:59 AM

9231

OptionProbability

elder scrolls 6

Gulf stream fails

federally legal cannabis

Half life 3

Aliens

46

23

20

8

2

Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?

Mar 16, 9:29 PMMar 16, 9:28 PM

65.93%chance

12152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries

Mar 4, 7:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.41%chance

5125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

61

Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks?

Mar 16, 12:06 PMJan 1, 11:41 AM

40%chance

999

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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