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Prediction markets for US Gulf

Will U.S. weapons strike targets inside Iran by March 31, 2026?

Feb 1, 8:55 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

49%chance

301857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026

Feb 2, 11:37 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

23.65%chance

6293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

What will occur first, public discourse of aliens, Half life 3,legal cannabis (US), elder scrolls 6, Gulf stream fails

Jul 31, 9:18 PMJun 30, 3:59 AM

9231

OptionProbability

elder scrolls 6

Gulf stream fails

federally legal cannabis

Half life 3

Aliens

46

23

20

8

2

USA will bomb Iran before the end of February

Feb 2, 12:18 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

19.77%chance

9148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

50

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