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Prediction markets for US Republican

If the Republican party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?

Sep 19, 4:22 PMMar 1, 7:59 PM

8.83%chance

166880

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2744

592

Conditional on Republican trifecta: will prescribing abortion pills be a US federal felony at the end of December 2026?

Dec 16, 2:30 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8.99%chance

293990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3149

368

The first female US president will be Republican

Nov 5, 12:50 AMNov 1, 10:59 PM

45.99%chance

553802

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

755

Republicans win 2028 US Presidential Election?

Aug 1, 8:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.98%chance

252363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1251

799

Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?

Nov 27, 6:45 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

23.04%chance

171243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1168

932

Will Elon Musk endorse a republican candidate in the next US presidential election?

Jun 5, 8:05 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

68.48%chance

131132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1474

678

Will the US enter a depression if the Republicans win the midterms?

Oct 13, 4:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.59%chance

7946

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

953

Will either Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2028 US elections?

Apr 10, 5:41 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

61.26%chance

42815

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1055

1010

If a Republican is elected POTUS in 2024, will the US send troops into Mexico before EOY 2028?

Aug 30, 8:50 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

16.94%chance

16562

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

727

Will the US have a President not nominated by either Republican or Democratic party by 2050?

Feb 5, 12:33 PMFeb 5, 7:59 PM

15.59%chance

14340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

835

Will a US House seat flip from Democrat to Republican in a 2027 special election?

Oct 21, 5:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.75%chance

3164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2104

1966

Will a US House seat flip from Republican to Democrat in a 2027 special election?

Oct 21, 5:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.32%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

914

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