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Prediction markets for US
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Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Jul 18, 4:24 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM
15.68%chance
398764973
OptionVotes
209741
63310
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
27.86%chance
653719860
OptionVotes
5791
4783
OptionProbability
67
32
1
OptionVotes
47939
2089
Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?
Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
27%chance
295113034
OptionVotes
9607
5584
Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Jul 18, 5:32 PMJul 2, 4:59 AM
36.84%chance
190100265
OptionVotes
12581
8094
Will building datacenters in the US be much more difficult by mid-2029?
Oct 11, 6:19 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
32.26%chance
8442406
OptionVotes
15462
13047
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
78.88%chance
12723740
OptionVotes
3769
1429
OptionVotes
20851
4796
Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?
Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM
51.05%chance
4410157
OptionVotes
10938
8979
Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?
Nov 5, 11:09 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
66.98%chance
167370
OptionVotes
29088
22177