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Top stories

France Beats Spain 78-73 at Bercy as Sylvain Francisco Shines, Poirier Injured, Batum Retires

France Beats Spain 78-73 at Bercy as Sylvain Francisco Shines, Poirier Injured, Batum Retires

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for USA

Will China beat the USA to Mars?

Feb 22, 8:21 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

30.43%chance

7313116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

985

961

Will China land men on the moon before the USA?

Jan 5, 9:00 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM

49.3%chance

6010184

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3088

1822

Will the USA put a flag on Mars during Trump's term? 🌕🚩

Mar 2, 7:08 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

8.3%chance

448536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3325

301

Will police in the usa kill more people in 2026 than in 2025?

Dec 27, 5:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64%chance

987260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1524

673

Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be known to be a gamer?

May 6, 3:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.64%chance

846221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2144

1721

Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?

May 11, 8:56 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

73.28%chance

213276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

641

Will an AI be elected to public office in the USA by 2034? (850M subsidy)

Sep 28, 8:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

22.7%chance

492899

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2435

1288

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Mar 11, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.34%chance

292716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2165

1849

Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be Jewish?

May 6, 3:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.11%chance

271433

OptionVotes

NO

YES

988

953

In 10 years, will the USA have an average cost of electricity below 1/10th of its current price?

May 8, 2:50 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.58%chance

261257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1288

922

Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)

Feb 26, 7:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.89%chance

361151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2180

1894

In what year will the USA have a 2nd state-owned bank?

Nov 25, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

before 2030

2031-2035

2036-2040

2041-2045

2046 or later

20

20

20

20

20

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