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Prediction markets for Warren

Will Warren Buffet be alive past 2025?

Aug 7, 3:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.32%chance

5110726

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1402

851

Will Elizabeth Warren ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:21 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2.9%chance

171972

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2572

887

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.93%chance

131580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

1287

Will Berkshire Hathaway stock rise on the news of Warren Buffet’s death (go up on the next /current trading day)

Jan 15, 1:27 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

21.81%chance

251285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

913

Will Warren Buffet become a centenarian?

Nov 18, 2:28 AMSep 2, 3:59 AM

22.81%chance

81127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1839

544

Will BRKA hits $1,000,000 before Warren Buffett dies?

Feb 16, 9:59 PMFeb 24, 6:29 PM

37.47%chance

10942

OptionVotes

NO

YES

152

129

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2035?

Jan 23, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.66%chance

12862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1790

848

What will Berkshire Hathaway (Warren Buffett) decide to do regarding its cash position [$157.24 B] until EOY 2025?

Feb 23, 11:46 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM

10846

OptionProbability

> 10% increase [> ~ $172.96B]

stays about the same within ±10% [> ~ $141.52 B; < ~ $172.96B]

> 10% decrease [< ~ $141.52 B]

92

5

3

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.19%chance

13632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

920

Will Warren Buffett die within 1 year of formally retiring?

May 3, 7:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.26%chance

18442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

192

52

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2025?

Jan 23, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.46%chance

13435

OptionVotes

NO

YES

253

103

warren stocks

May 6, 3:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

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