Washington and Wall Street News
Prediction markets for Washington and Wall Street
Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
Feb 7, 9:09 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
2.63%chance
7429608
OptionVotes
6082
164
Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?
Dec 17, 4:02 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM
5011102
OptionProbability
100
35
22
21
21
20
20
19
19
18
18
17
17
16
14
13
12
11
9
7
4
1
1
Will PA Governor Josh Shapiro be arrested in connection with the Butler PA attempt to assassinate Trump?
Feb 10, 3:05 PMFeb 18, 4:59 AM
224499
OptionProbability
20
6
5
5
3
Which Trump children will be indicted or arrested by the midterm elections in 2026?
Dec 3, 10:54 PMNov 4, 4:59 AM
162120
OptionProbability
14
14
10
10
6
Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?
Jan 19, 9:56 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM
15.92%chance
91655
OptionVotes
2298
435
Which party will control the US senate after the 2030 midterm elections?
Dec 5, 3:35 PMNov 13, 4:59 AM
171353
OptionProbability
71
29
OptionProbability
14
0
0
OptionProbability
76
72
69
50
34
1
Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?
May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM
53.61%chance
7311
OptionVotes
1075
930
OptionVotes
1061
942
Will any of FORD / GENERAL MOTORS / STELLANTIS declare any chapter of bankruptcy between now and 2027?
Jan 2, 1:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.69%chance
390
OptionVotes
190
53
What number of Am Law 100 firms will have capitulated to Trump by the 2026 midterms?
Apr 4, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
137
OptionProbability
21
15
10
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7