Washington and Wall Street News

Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?

Feb 7, 9:09 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

2.63%chance

7429608

OptionVotes

YES

6082

164

Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?

Dec 17, 4:02 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM

5011102

OptionProbability

Department of Education

Federal Statistical Agencies

Transportation Security Administration (TSA)

National Weather Service

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)

Internal Revenue Service

Public Broadcasting Service (PBS)

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB)

National Institutes of Health

Consumer Financial Protection Bureau

Bureau of Alcohol, Firearms, and Tobacco

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA)

National Park Service (NPS)

Small Business Administration

Federal Bureau of Investigations

Freddie Mac

Ginnie Mae

Fannie Mae

The Supreme Court

United States Agency for International Development (USAID)

US Postal Service

Amtrak

100

What will Trump try to bring under U.S. control?

Dec 23, 1:53 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

374594

OptionProbability

Greenland

Panama Canal

Other

Canada

Yucatán

Baja

Sonora

Will PA Governor Josh Shapiro be arrested in connection with the Butler PA attempt to assassinate Trump?

Feb 10, 3:05 PMFeb 18, 4:59 AM

234504

OptionProbability

Shapiro is subpoenaed to testify before Congress, the FBI, or another agency of the Federal government

Shapiro is indicted by a grand jury

Shapiro is arrested

Shapiro is brought to trial

Shapiro is found guilty of involvement with the plot

Which Trump children will be indicted or arrested by the midterm elections in 2026?

Dec 3, 10:54 PMNov 4, 4:59 AM

162120

OptionProbability

Donald Trump Jr.

Eric Trump

Ivanka Trump

Barron Trump

Tiffany Trump

Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?

Jan 19, 9:56 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

14%chance

91773

OptionVotes

YES

2478

403

Which party will control the US senate after the 2030 midterm elections?

Dec 5, 3:35 PMNov 13, 4:59 AM

221548

OptionProbability

Republicans

Democrats

First event in new White House ballroom?

Oct 26, 4:40 PMFeb 1, 5:35 PM

5347

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2028

Before Jan 2029

Before July 2028

Before July 2027

Before Jan 2027

Before July 2026

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

53.61%chance

7311

OptionVotes

YES

1075

930

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

YES

1061

942

Will any of FORD / GENERAL MOTORS / STELLANTIS declare any chapter of bankruptcy between now and 2027?

Jan 2, 1:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.69%chance

390

OptionVotes

YES

190

What number of Am Law 100 firms will have capitulated to Trump by the 2026 midterms?

Apr 4, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

137

OptionProbability

6-10

11-20

21-30

Less than 5

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

Washington and Wall Street News

Prediction markets for Washington and Wall Street

Prediction markets for Washington and Wall Street

Prediction markets for Washington and Wall Street

Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?

Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?

What will Trump try to bring under U.S. control?

Will PA Governor Josh Shapiro be arrested in connection with the Butler PA attempt to assassinate Trump?

Which Trump children will be indicted or arrested by the midterm elections in 2026?

Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?

Which party will control the US senate after the 2030 midterm elections?

First event in new White House ballroom?

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

Will any of FORD / GENERAL MOTORS / STELLANTIS declare any chapter of bankruptcy between now and 2027?

What number of Am Law 100 firms will have capitulated to Trump by the 2026 midterms?

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