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Prediction markets for West End

Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

9.94%chance

1131643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

45002

4770

Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

21.9%chance

67606

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17581

6533

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Mar 3, 1:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.48%chance

474616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3122

158

Will the WA SWIS annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 90 AUD per MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

25.33%chance

53536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13504

8507

Will WA SWIS 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$150/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

27.69%chance

42511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12479

8876

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.75%chance

171910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2681

374

Will Kanye West perform at a Superbowl Halftime show before the end of 2029?

May 3, 2:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.25%chance

10937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

660

15

Will Kanye West orbit the Earth before the end of 2031?

May 2, 6:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.41%chance

11153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

218

46

Will Israel dismantle any settlements in the West Bank before the end of 2035?

Mar 9, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.86%chance

780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

158

How many performances will The Mousetrap reach before the West End production closes?

Aug 8, 9:18 PMAug 9, 3:59 AM

220

OptionProbability

38,000 - 40,999

41,000 - 43,999

44,000 - 46,999

47,000 - 50,000

Above 50,000

Below 35,000

35,000 - 37,999

15

15

15

15

15

13

13

Will Amanda and West from Summer House break up before the end of the 2026?

Jun 4, 1:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Amanda and West from Summer House break up before the end of the 2027?

Jun 4, 1:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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