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Prediction markets for West End

Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

35.43%chance

66790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20520

10809

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Mar 3, 1:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.29%chance

464116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2622

208

Will the WA SWIS annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 90 AUD per MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

25.33%chance

53536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13504

8507

Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

30.83%chance

43501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13499

7975

Will WA SWIS 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$150/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

27.69%chance

42511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12479

8876

Will Kanye West perform at a Superbowl Halftime show before the end of 2029?

May 3, 2:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.02%chance

9932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

985

10

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.32%chance

10603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1375

730

Will Kanye West orbit the Earth before the end of 2031?

May 2, 6:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.41%chance

11153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

218

46

Will Israel dismantle any settlements in the West Bank before the end of 2035?

Mar 9, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.86%chance

780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

158

Will Amanda and West from Summer House break up before the end of the summer?

Jun 4, 1:37 AMSep 22, 10:59 PM

40.98%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will Amanda and West from Summer House break up before the end of the 2027?

Jun 4, 1:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Amanda and West from Summer House break up before the end of the 2026?

Jun 4, 1:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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