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Top stories

Putin Says Russia Must Maintain Sovereignty, Overcome Challenges, Warns Western Europe Lost Sovereignty

Putin Says Russia Must Maintain Sovereignty, Overcome Challenges, Warns Western Europe Lost Sovereignty

Authors

5

4 months ago

Putin Says Russia Faces ‘Elites,’ Not Nations, Vows to End Donbas War

Putin Says Russia Faces ‘Elites,’ Not Nations, Vows to End Donbas War

Authors

4

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Western Europe

Will Europe evolve into a united nation by 2030?

Aug 27, 5:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.38%chance

3614218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6402

156

USA's 2025 Economist Democracy Index score?

Apr 17, 8:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

124712

OptionProbability

7 - 7.99

6 - 6.99

5 - 5.99

Below 5

8 - 8.99

9 - 10

55

28

14

1

1

1

Will the Rock Dove, a.k.a. Common Pigeon (Columba livia) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 27, 7:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.14%chance

102712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2596

295

Is the Gulf Stream going to collapse before 2030

Aug 5, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.91%chance

151990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1423

938

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Apr 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

101589

OptionProbability

South-East Asia

Southern Europe (Iberian Peninsula, Italy, Balkans, Greece)

Oceania

South Asia

North America

Middle East & Northern Africa

East Asia

Mexico / Central America / Caribbean

Western Europe (France to Poland)

Sub-Saharan Africa

South America

Eastern Europe / Central Asia (Former USSR)

Northern Europe (Nordics and British Isles)

45

36

13

12

11

11

11

10

10

10

9

9

7

Will the economic gap between the USA and Western Europe be greater in 2030?

Aug 28, 8:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65.69%chance

24831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

335

100

Will the Red Deer (Cervus elaphus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 26, 8:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.49%chance

7717

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1216

354

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

31.41%chance

16398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

930

Will the European Hedgehog (Erinaceus europaeus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 25, 12:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.4%chance

5317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

783

412

Which regions will become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:00 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

8236

OptionProbability

North America

Asia and Australasia

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Western Europe

Latin America and the Caribbean

Middle East and North Africa

95

88

66

66

66

46

39

Fatal terrorist attack via drone swarm in the West before 2026-06-18?

Jun 19, 4:45 AMJun 18, 11:59 PM

13.83%chance

10229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

40

[Subsidized] In which decade will the global human population rebound/decrease?

Jan 14, 12:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

490

OptionProbability

Not before 2100

Prior to 2050

2050s

2060s

2070s

2080s

2090s

21

13

13

13

13

13

13

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