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Top stories

Putin Says Russia Must Maintain Sovereignty, Overcome Challenges, Warns Western Europe Lost Sovereignty

Putin Says Russia Must Maintain Sovereignty, Overcome Challenges, Warns Western Europe Lost Sovereignty

Authors

5

9 months ago

Putin Says Russia Faces ‘Elites,’ Not Nations, Vows to End Donbas War

Putin Says Russia Faces ‘Elites,’ Not Nations, Vows to End Donbas War

Authors

4

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Western Europe

Will Europe evolve into a united nation by 2030?

Aug 27, 5:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.46%chance

3814231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6300

159

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Apr 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

206527

OptionProbability

South-East Asia

Oceania

South Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

North America

Mexico / Central America / Caribbean

South America

Northern Europe (Nordics and British Isles)

Eastern Europe / Central Asia (Former USSR)

Western Europe (France to Poland)

Southern Europe (Iberian Peninsula, Italy, Balkans, Greece)

Middle East & Northern Africa

East Asia

98

25

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will the Rock Dove, a.k.a. Common Pigeon (Columba livia) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 27, 7:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.14%chance

102712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2596

295

Is the Gulf Stream going to collapse before 2030

Aug 5, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.51%chance

172051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1272

946

Will the economic gap between the USA and Western Europe be greater in 2030?

Aug 28, 8:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

66%chance

26857

OptionVotes

NO

YES

337

99

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

31.41%chance

16398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

930

Will the European Hedgehog (Erinaceus europaeus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 25, 12:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.4%chance

5317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

783

412

When AI girlfriends will become socially acceptable to at least one age group?

Dec 16, 5:17 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

12316

OptionProbability

Later than 2037, if ever

Other

2026, 2027

2028, 2029

2024, 2025

33

30

14

14

10

Will US GDP per capita exceed 10x Western Europe's before 2050?

Mar 7, 5:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.24%chance

6211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1157

964

Will there be a ceasfire in Ukraine at the end of 2027?

Mar 16, 6:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.6%chance

9151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

71

[Subsidized] In which decade will the global human population rebound/decrease?

Jan 14, 12:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

490

OptionProbability

Not before 2100

Prior to 2050

2050s

2060s

2070s

2080s

2090s

21

13

13

13

13

13

13

Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026?

Feb 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.84%chance

280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

926

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