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Prediction markets for Wheeling

The First Tesla with Unsupervised FSD will...

Dec 5, 5:27 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

85887

OptionProbability

Have a front facing bumper camera.

Have a screen in the back row.

Have a steering wheel.

Run on a AI4/HW4 computer.

Run on a AI5 computer.

Be a Two Seater.

77

76

76

56

44

33

Will the Wheel of Time on Amazon Prime Video be renewed for a fourth season by December 31, 2025?

Jul 24, 8:48 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1.59%chance

133231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2013

26

When will Waymo offer a public driverless ride of their next generation vehicles (Zeekr, possibly no steering wheel)?

Apr 21, 8:01 PMJul 3, 6:59 AM

191468

OptionProbability

Before July 1, 2026

Before Dec 31, 2025

Not before July 1, 2026

Before July 1, 2024

Before Dec 31, 2024

Before July 1, 2025

71

47

17

0

0

0

Will Prime's Wheel of Time series follow through to the end of Jordan's novel series?

Sep 10, 12:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.23%chance

121054

OptionVotes

YES

NO

905

43

Will Tesla release a full level 4 autonomy (no human behind the wheel) car / driver by the end of 2025?

Jun 8, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.79%chance

10813

OptionVotes

YES

NO

370

27

[Wheel of Time] Which of the Forsaken will appear in the TV series?

Sep 20, 12:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5265

OptionProbability

Moghedien

Sammael

Graendal

Aginor

Asmodean

Balthamel

Be'lal

Demandred

Mesaana

Rahvin

Semirhage

63

17

10

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

When the first windowless/partially windowless, autonomous car without steering wheel and with reversed seats launches?

Jan 6, 7:38 PMJan 2, 12:00 AM

6166

OptionProbability

2040-2045

Other

2050-2060

2045-2050

2030-2035

2025-2030

50

23

10

8

7

2

Which shows will finish first?

Mar 28, 9:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8155

OptionProbability

Star Trek: Strange New Worlds [NO] | Halo [YES]

House of Dragon [NO] | 3 Body Problem [YES]

Avatar: The Last Airbender (live action) [NO] | The Wheel of Time [YES]

The Bachelor (U.S.) [NO] | Love is Blind (U.S.) [YES]

X-Men '97 [NO] | Invincible [YES]

The Bear [NO] | Abbott Elementary [YES]

Doctor Who [NO] | The Simpsons [YES]

100

71

66

50

41

30

24

[Wheel of Time] Will any Darkfriend character from the books be a non-Darkfriend in the show?

Sep 2, 6:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

73%chance

3116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

50

Will my model Y 2023 be able to drive on a highway in California without me holding the wheel before end of 2025?

Sep 12, 5:41 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.52%chance

386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

98

41

[Wheel of Time] In the show, will Znmevz Gnvz or n Sbefnxra va qvfthvfr?

Sep 20, 12:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.87%chance

472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

88

[Wheel of Time] Will any non-Darkfriend character from the books be a Darkfriend in the show?

Sep 2, 6:26 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

71%chance

342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

68

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