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Top stories

US Foreign Policy

White House’s Navarro Calls Europe’s Russian Oil Buys ‘Insanity’

Authors

6

3 months ago

Prediction markets for White

Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.85%chance

17541523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7241

1026

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Jun 2, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.75%chance

9940433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6771

458

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

May 23, 1:11 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

41.71%chance

16032249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

846

Will there be a season 4 of The White Lotus?

Jan 4, 6:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

99.45%chance

1630861

OptionVotes

NO

YES

21317

93

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

87.05%chance

377352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2593

386

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

Will the 2028 Democratic nominee be a straight white male?

Mar 19, 12:28 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

60.41%chance

221510

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1235

810

Will Trump tear down the white house before the end of his 2nd term?

Oct 24, 9:51 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

4.2%chance

8567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

477

21

Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?

Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.6%chance

12426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

48

Will the champions of Super Bowl LX visit the White House after their win?

Feb 24, 2:53 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM

53.68%chance

7409

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1077

929

Will there be a non-white Republican Nominee before the end of 2032?

Feb 24, 5:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.54%chance

14207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1061

965

Will a character from a previous season die in Season 4 of The White Lotus?

Apr 7, 3:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.67%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1055

948

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