OptionVotes
NO
YES
2539
394
OptionProbability
Sam Altman
Liang Wenfeng
Mark Zuckerberg
Jensen Huang
Dario Amodei
Demis Hassabis
Geoffrey Hinton
Daniel Kokotajlo
Elon Musk
Sundar Pichai
Marc Andreessen
@DwarkeshPatel
Yann LeCun
Mira Murati
Aravind Srinivas
Stewart Russell
Andrew Ng
Arthur Mensch
llya Sutskever
Yoshua Bengio
David Sacks
Andrej Karpathy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
John Carmack
Marques Brownlee
Francois Chollet
@KatjaGrace
Helen Toner
Matt Shumer
Zvi Mowshowitz
Leopold Aschenbrenner
Emad Mostaque
Scarlett Johansson
98
97
96
95
94
91
90
87
86
76
73
67
66
63
61
55
50
48
40
34
31
25
23
22
18
17
13
10
6
After 2032
Between 2028 and 2032
Before 2028
53
32
15
