OptionProbability
Sam Altman
Dario Amodei
Jensen Huang
Demis Hassabis
David Sacks
Elon Musk
Geoffrey Hinton
Sundar Pichai
Mark Zuckerberg
Yann LeCun
Yoshua Bengio
Marc Andreessen
llya Sutskever
Gary Marcus
Mira Murati
Andrej Karpathy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Daniel Kokotajlo
Arthur Mensch
Liang Wenfeng
Ben Affleck
@DwarkeshPatel
Stuart J. Russell
Andrew Ng
John Carmack
Pope Leo XIV
Marques Brownlee
Matt Shumer
Mustafa Suleyman
Tristan Harris
Aravind Srinivas
Emily Bender
Helen Toner
Francois Chollet
Andy Masley
Leopold Aschenbrenner
Emad Mostaque
Scott Alexander
Zvi Mowshowitz
@KatjaGrace
Scarlett Johansson
98
95
93
91
89
86
80
79
77
69
65
61
60
59
57
55
53
52
45
42
41
39
37
36
30
28
27
25
15
9
7
6
After 2032
Between 2028 and 2032
Before 2028
32
