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Prediction markets for 119th Congress

Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?

Nov 14, 12:17 AMJan 3, 4:59 PM

97.3%chance

168417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6004

167

Will the 119th Congress be breached by a mob of violent protesters?

Sep 4, 12:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.55%chance

187986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2212

20

How many Republican Members of the 119th U.S. Congress (House and Senate) will resign in 2026?

Dec 9, 11:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94871

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 2

Above 4

Above 6

Above 8

Above 10

Above 12

Above 16

Above 14

Above 18

100

93

51

40

31

21

12

9

8

8

SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?

Aug 4, 6:19 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

42.59%chance

124441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1161

861

Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?

Mar 27, 3:22 AMFeb 1, 11:59 AM

6.81%chance

92795

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3699

270

Will the US Congress pass a bill nationally protecting abortion during the 119th Congress (2025-27)?

Jul 26, 4:17 PMJan 4, 4:59 AM

2.67%chance

4704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

604

17

Will legislation be passed into law that lays out process for enforcing 14th amendment during the 119th congress?

Mar 23, 3:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15%chance

12526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

370

79

Will the speaker of the house be ousted in the 119th congress

Dec 14, 12:49 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

19.11%chance

11329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

315

108

Will there be any Congressional Special Election flips in the 119th Congress?

Dec 4, 10:41 PMNov 3, 10:59 PM

6.64%chance

4325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

375

27

Will Sarah McBride be censured in the 119th Congress?

Nov 21, 2:54 AMJan 4, 4:59 AM

27%chance

9214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will the JAWBONE Act be enacted into law in the 119th Congress?

Jun 11, 10:12 PMJan 3, 11:59 AM

44.23%chance

3123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

890

Will the 119th Congress be more productive than the 118th Congress?

Nov 9, 7:55 AMJan 4, 4:59 PM

53.44%chance

330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

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