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Prediction markets for 13

Will Allan Lichtman (creator of the 13 Keys) correctly predict the 2028 election?

Oct 14, 12:17 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM

67.06%chance

177310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1427

701

Fewer US programming jobs 1 year from March 13, 2025? [Tegmark / Ng bet]

Mar 13, 11:40 PMMar 20, 11:59 PM

53.02%chance

505406

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

941

Long shot(ish) bets: How many of these 13 markets will resolve as expected?

Nov 16, 4:56 AMFeb 3, 6:59 AM

173884

OptionProbability

13

12

11

10

8-9

5-7

0-4

97

2

0

0

0

0

0

Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?

Sep 5, 7:19 PMNov 13, 7:59 AM

22.88%chance

71550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1836

545

Will anyone break the Apollo 13 crew's record for furthest people from Earth before 2030?

Dec 15, 6:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

80%chance

171245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1144

935

In 2028, Will "Change in Average Inflation Rate" continue its 13-election win streak of predicting the US PV winner?

Feb 7, 1:28 AMNov 7, 5:59 AM

8923

OptionProbability

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election (predicts a Republican PV Win)

"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner

73

57

New CEO at three of 13 top companies by Mid 2026

Apr 6, 1:50 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

27.11%chance

7847

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1640

610

In which MIT residence will I live on May 13, 2026?

May 15, 6:58 AMMay 14, 6:59 AM

4771

OptionProbability

New House

Burton Conner

Other

Next House

Not living near MIT

New Vassar

71

11

8

6

3

2

Will the Percentage of the US Population (Age >= 13) that is Trans Increase in the Next Williams Center Report?

Feb 19, 1:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

77.7%chance

14641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

769

Will 1,3-butanediol significantly extend the lifespan of UM-HET3 mice tested by the NIA’s Interventions Testing Program? (Cohort 13: C2017)

Feb 27, 6:03 PMJan 7, 3:59 PM

31.89%chance

10236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

967

Will the title of Taylor Swift's 13th studio album have or reference the number 13?

Feb 22, 5:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.2%chance

11209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

990

Will Captopril significantly extend the lifespan of UM-HET3 mice tested by the NIA’s Interventions Testing Program? (Cohort 13: C2017)

Feb 27, 6:10 PMJan 7, 3:59 PM

31.65%chance

1082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1049

969

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