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Prediction markets for 14th Amendment

Will courts overturn Trump’s executive order on birthright citizenship?

Jan 25, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.52%chance

6713988

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2033

492

Will the Trump administration deport a US citizen to El Salvador this year?

Mar 17, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.76%chance

6610228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3447

290

Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?

Nov 7, 11:10 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

31.88%chance

477748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1462

684

Will Trump succeed in revoking the citizenship of any birthright US citizen?

Jul 13, 3:36 PMJan 10, 7:59 AM

30%chance

171254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

Will federal abortion rights be restored by the courts under the 13th amendment which confers a right against involuntary servitude?

Feb 7, 4:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.86%chance

281004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1348

933

Will they "14th Amendment the Convicted Felon out and put Vance in"?

Jan 22, 4:07 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM

11.75%chance

8438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

274

36

Will the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution be altered or repealed before 2028?

Dec 24, 8:03 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

6.3%chance

15405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1375

940

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

5398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

874

Will legislation be passed into law that lays out process for enforcing 14th amendment during the 119th congress?

Mar 23, 3:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.55%chance

10355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

132

Attempt to use 14th amendment to block Mamdani from mayoral office?

Nov 4, 5:13 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

11.36%chance

10289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

36

Will any US state use the 14th Amendment to successfully disqualify a candidate for state office by 2028?

Mar 4, 8:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.64%chance

5173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

183

Should Trump be disqualified from holding office and removed from the ballot under the 14th amendment?

Nov 5, 8:37 PM

380

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