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Prediction markets for 14th Amendment

Will courts overturn Trump’s executive order on birthright citizenship?

Jan 25, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.79%chance

7415406

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3139

319

Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?

Nov 7, 11:10 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

14.05%chance

589635

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2473

404

What month will the Supreme Court rule on birthright citizenship?

Apr 3, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

215283

OptionProbability

June 2026

July 2026

October 2026

November 2026 or later

August 2026

September 2026

April 2026

May 2026

Other

52

27

5

5

4

4

1

1

1

Will the US Constitution be amended to revoke Birthright Citizenship before 2040?

Jun 28, 12:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.13%chance

262011

OptionVotes

NO

YES

967

923

Will Trump succeed in revoking the citizenship of any birthright US citizen?

Jul 13, 3:36 PMJan 10, 7:59 AM

30%chance

191329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

JJ McCullough's 2026 Bingo Card

Jan 21, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7737

OptionProbability

SCOTUS rules against DTJ on tariffs

New dance sweeps nation

Alberta separation referendum fails in landslide

SCOTUS rules against DJT on 14th amend

Trump suggests just printing money

PM Carney gets majority gov't of 3 or more

Trump sincerely proposes himself on Rushmore

Nobel prize goes to US-led team — but not Trump

Netanyahu loses election but gets pardon

Full-length AI movie goes viral

Trump proposes 'Trump amendment'

Barron Trump does podcast

Maduro seeks exile in Russia

Deportation camp set up in Africa

Justice Thomas retires before midterms

Sir Keir Starmer resigns

Pro-Trump coup in Greenland

Hegseth replaced by Driscoll

Erika Kirk put in cabinet

JD and Usha split up

Bessent made chair of Fed

USMCA treaty torn up

Fuentes speaks at CPAC

Trump boycotts Biden's state funeral

66

66

59

50

50

50

41

34

34

31

28

28

27

24

20

17

15

15

10

9

8

8

8

4

Will they "14th Amendment the Convicted Felon out and put Vance in"?

Jan 22, 4:07 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM

11.75%chance

8438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

274

36

Will the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution be altered or repealed before 2028?

Dec 24, 8:03 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

6.3%chance

15405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1375

940

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

5398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

874

Will legislation be passed into law that lays out process for enforcing 14th amendment during the 119th congress?

Mar 23, 3:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.55%chance

10355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

132

Will any US state use the 14th Amendment to successfully disqualify a candidate for state office by 2028?

Mar 4, 8:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.64%chance

5173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

183

Should Trump be disqualified from holding office and removed from the ballot under the 14th amendment?

Nov 5, 8:37 PM

380

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