1X News

⚾️ MLB Prop Bets 🎲

Mar 26, 6:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

297347

OptionProbability

A single player scores 55+ home runs in the season (2023: 54 by Matt Olson)

A team steals 200+ bases (2023: Reds had 190)

At the end of the season, there's a 50+ win gap between two teams in a division

The MLB dissolves before 2050

A team scores 22+ points in any single game (2023: 1x)

Ohtani is suspended by MLB at any point

A pitcher pitches a perfect game

A team hits 300+ HRs (2023: Braves had 307)

A team reaches the World Series with less than 90 regular season wins (2023: D’Backs had 84)

An AL team wins 100+ games

100

How much will the VR market grow as a result of Apple Vision Pro

Sep 18, 4:54 AMAug 19, 3:59 AM

253878

OptionProbability

1.3x - 1.7x

1.7x - 2.2x

1x - 1.3x

>50x

2.2x-3x

3x-5x

5x-8x

0x - 1x (shrink or no change)

8x-12x

12x-16x

16x-50x

Company “1X” ships 10,000 humanoid robots in 2026?

Nov 10, 3:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.84%chance

102932

OptionVotes

YES

3690

271

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

YES

1720

680

When will the NEO robot (or its cousins) catch its first body?

Oct 30, 2:40 AMJan 1, 3:38 AM

6649

OptionProbability

2027 Onwards

Jul 2026 - Dec 2026

Nov 2025 - Dec 2025

Jan 2026 - Jun 2026

Will an A press be saved in Super Mario 64 before 2027

May 26, 6:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.17%chance

9594

OptionVotes

YES

336

How will AI voting advice rates compare to the Senate tipping point margin in 2026?

Jan 30, 1:18 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

4462

OptionProbability

[No AI voting advice polling available]

> 3x

2x - 3x

1x - 2x

0 - 1x

More Super Bowls wins, Lions with Goff or Stafford with Rams (50% if equal)

Nov 20, 1:50 AMFeb 27, 5:59 AM

6193

OptionProbability

Matt Stafford (LA Rams, 1x Super Bowl wins as of 2024)

Jared Goff (DET Lions, 0x Super Bowl wins as of 2024)

Which league will sell most smart humanoid robots in 2030?

Mar 4, 1:34 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11140

OptionProbability

Tesla-Boston Dynamics-Sanctuary-LimX

Figure-Agility-Apptronik-Agibot

Unitree-UBTech-1X-MagicLab

Fourier-Kepler-Xiaomi-Xpeng

Will my blinded n-of-1 melatonin trial show improvements in my sleep?

Sep 28, 8:50 PMNov 28, 8:07 PM

41.3%chance

10127

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will 1X deliver NEO humanoid robots to paying home customers in the US before January 1, 2027?

Nov 7, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.66%chance

356

OptionVotes

YES

154

Will Equator Therapeutics (equatortherapeutics.com) generate positive return for its investors?

Jul 3, 7:41 PMDec 31, 8:41 PM

47.56%chance

OptionVotes

YES

105

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Prediction markets for 1X

Prediction markets for 1X

Prediction markets for 1X

⚾️ MLB Prop Bets 🎲

How much will the VR market grow as a result of Apple Vision Pro

Company “1X” ships 10,000 humanoid robots in 2026?

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

When will the NEO robot (or its cousins) catch its first body?

Will an A press be saved in Super Mario 64 before 2027

How will AI voting advice rates compare to the Senate tipping point margin in 2026?

More Super Bowls wins, Lions with Goff or Stafford with Rams (50% if equal)

Which league will sell most smart humanoid robots in 2030?

Will my blinded n-of-1 melatonin trial show improvements in my sleep?

Will 1X deliver NEO humanoid robots to paying home customers in the US before January 1, 2027?

Will Equator Therapeutics (equatortherapeutics.com) generate positive return for its investors?

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