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2022 News

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of any of the charges he was detained for on the 29th of December 2022

Dec 30, 6:38 AMDec 29, 11:00 PM

54.06%chance

13269944

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2534

1007

Did US real median household income increase in 2022?

Nov 5, 11:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.23%chance

4017224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

21518

5099

Will Levels.fyi report that software engineer's salaries are lower in 2026 than they were in 2022?

Mar 16, 6:10 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

16.4%chance

9715078

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9194

4582

Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Oct 21, 3:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.96%chance

13111292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2160

1961

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which total AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 16, 11:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.12%chance

7910829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4258

871

Will 2026 turnout exceed 2022? (US midterms, percentage)

Jul 4, 2:35 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

81.61%chance

714548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5441

4403

Will the animal rights movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Oct 21, 5:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.54%chance

703479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1387

1102

Will either Gartner or IDC claim that by 2032, cloud spending quadrupled from 2022? (1,000 subsidy)

Jan 4, 6:31 PMMar 31, 2:59 AM

73.39%chance

81268

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1740

865

Will there be a year, before 2030, in which net AI suffering outweighs net 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 17, 12:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.08%chance

121034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1255

816

Is 2022-2024 The Last Time This Decade Democrats Will Control The Senate?

Jan 3, 10:40 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

33%chance

19957

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

969

By end of 2030, will any US company be worth $10 trillion, in inflation adjusted 2022 dollars?

Nov 23, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.7%chance

28607

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

880

Before 2030, will a NATO soldier publish a memoir claiming they were secretly on Ukrainian soil in 2022 or 2023?

Jun 29, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

72.11%chance

14372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

984

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