2022 General Election News
Top stories
Prediction markets for 2022 General Election
[Ṁ200 subsidy] Will the BBC licence fee be axed by the end of 2028?
Aug 3, 11:25 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
27.34%chance
221255
OptionVotes
1157
913
US state/federal regulatory apparatus takes another action against Polymarket before January 1, 2026
Jul 22, 2:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
23.92%chance
4800
OptionVotes
1818
573
Will Ulf Kristersson remain Swedish Prime Minister throughout the 2022-2026 term (until the next general election)?
Feb 5, 5:32 PMFeb 28, 10:59 PM
90.13%chance
10636
OptionVotes
375
95
Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2026 elections?
Nov 7, 11:04 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM
35.71%chance
5583
OptionVotes
1342
745
Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?
Jul 8, 11:11 AMOct 6, 2:59 AM
70.71%chance
8234
OptionVotes
195
85
Will Dina Boluarte remain president of Peru until the end of his term?
Oct 30, 2:36 AMJul 29, 4:59 AM
30.34%chance
6125
OptionVotes
131
63
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 30th State Senate district
Jul 2, 3:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2105
OptionProbability
81
19
Labour initiates legislation to reform or replace Human Rights Act before next election?
Jul 21, 9:50 AMAug 15, 12:00 AM
34.79%chance
465
OptionVotes
137
73
Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?
Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
34.42%chance
565
OptionVotes
4007
3989
OptionVotes
137
63
OptionVotes
115
73
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district
Jul 7, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
213
OptionProbability
53
47