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2024 Presidential Election News

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Prediction markets for 2024 Presidential Election

Who wins the US presidential election in 2024? / Will Russia invade a NATO member before 2030?

Dec 17, 11:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7131025

OptionProbability

Trump / Russia does not invade

Trump / Russia invades

Not Trump / Russia invades

Not Trump / Russia does not invade

81

19

0

0

Will the last presidential election in the USA be in 2024?

Oct 6, 1:10 PMNov 11, 4:59 AM

9.31%chance

396241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3121

320

Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

4.4%chance

305507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1905

915

Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?

Feb 21, 1:25 AMNov 7, 4:59 AM

30.35%chance

333266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

990

979

Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?

Feb 18, 9:03 PMNov 7, 4:59 AM

23.81%chance

353112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

861

Will Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Mar 18, 1:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.96%chance

252884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

624

Will Alexandria-Ocasio Cortez be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States in the 2024, 2028, or 2032 presidential elections?

Dec 10, 2:56 AMNov 3, 1:55 PM

20.14%chance

412459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1387

832

Will a current Congressman/Presidential candidate demand a recount after the 2024 presidential election?

Apr 19, 4:14 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

18.81%chance

111257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1940

177

Will a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?

Dec 12, 3:25 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

4.38%chance

131109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

695

125

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2024 US presidential election? [$10k liquid]

Nov 29, 11:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.93%chance

8658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

408

51

Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election appoint a Supreme Court Justice before 2029

Dec 18, 9:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

81.39%chance

9301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

280

127

Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term

Aug 5, 3:24 AMJan 20, 12:59 PM

23.09%chance

15245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

970

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