2024 US Presidential Election News

Who wins the US presidential election in 2024? / Will Russia invade a NATO member before 2030?

Dec 17, 11:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7131025

OptionProbability

Trump / Russia does not invade

Trump / Russia invades

Not Trump / Russia invades

Not Trump / Russia does not invade

Trump Wins 2024 Presidential Election x China Lands a Person on the Moon before the US Can Return to the Moon

Dec 9, 4:09 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

269861

OptionProbability

Trump wins 2024 AND China lands on Moon before USA returns

Trump wins 2024 AND China doesn't land on Moon before USA returns

Trump loses 2024 AND China lands on Moon before USA returns

Trump loses 2024 AND China doesn't land on Moon before USA returns

Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?

Apr 2, 4:51 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

4.4%chance

305507

OptionVotes

YES

1905

915

Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?

Feb 21, 1:25 AMNov 7, 4:59 AM

30.35%chance

333266

OptionVotes

YES

990

979

Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?

Feb 18, 9:03 PMNov 7, 4:59 AM

23.81%chance

353112

OptionVotes

YES

1014

861

Will Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Mar 18, 1:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.96%chance

252884

OptionVotes

YES

1182

624

Will a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?

Dec 12, 3:25 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

4.38%chance

131109

OptionVotes

YES

695

125

If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028?

Jan 7, 4:20 PMJan 7, 11:59 PM

16.04%chance

27979

OptionVotes

YES

381

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2024 US presidential election? [$10k liquid]

Nov 29, 11:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.93%chance

8658

OptionVotes

YES

408

Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election appoint a Supreme Court Justice before 2029

Dec 18, 9:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

81.39%chance

9301

OptionVotes

YES

280

127

Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term

Aug 5, 3:24 AMJan 20, 12:59 PM

23.09%chance

15245

OptionVotes

YES

1062

970

Will the combined age of the winning ticket of the 2024 US presidential election be older than the winners in 2028?

Jan 18, 6:09 PMDec 12, 1:29 PM

65.8%chance

659

OptionVotes

YES

135

122

2024 US Presidential Election News

Prediction markets for 2024 US Presidential Election

Prediction markets for 2024 US Presidential Election

Prediction markets for 2024 US Presidential Election

Who wins the US presidential election in 2024? / Will Russia invade a NATO member before 2030?

Trump Wins 2024 Presidential Election x China Lands a Person on the Moon before the US Can Return to the Moon

Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?

Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?

Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?

Will Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?

If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028?

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2024 US presidential election? [$10k liquid]

Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election appoint a Supreme Court Justice before 2029

Will the winner of the 2024 US presidential election die during their term

Will the combined age of the winning ticket of the 2024 US presidential election be older than the winners in 2028?

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