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2025 Academy Awards News

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Prediction markets for 2025 Academy Awards

"One Battle After Another" wins Best Picture?

Oct 4, 12:37 AMMar 14, 10:59 PM

71.01%chance

5753455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10742

6885

"Hamnet" wins Best Picture?

Aug 24, 1:30 PMMar 9, 10:59 PM

4.25%chance

208200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4749

211

Which film will win the inaugural Best Casting Oscar at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 7, 10:59 AMMar 17, 11:59 PM

105135

OptionProbability

Sinners

One Battle after Another

Marty Supreme

The Secret Agent

Hamnet

Frankenstein

Sentimental Value

Sirât

Weapoms

Wicked: For Good

66

17

5

4

3

1

1

1

1

1

Which movie from 2025 will win the Oscar for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Mar 6, 3:53 AMMar 7, 4:59 AM

153056

OptionProbability

Marty supreme

One Battle After Another

Other

Sinners

Mickey 17

28 Years Later

Dune 2

zootopia 2

jurassaic park rebirth

Nonnas

Warfare

Havoc

The Accountant 2

Minecraft

Snow White

Train Dreams

73

10

7

6

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)?

Jan 5, 8:35 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

112112

OptionProbability

Not by 2030

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2025

58

10

8

8

8

8

1

What will be true about the Oscar Best Picture winner at the 98th Academy Awards? (Films from 2025) [ADD RESPONSES]

Mar 3, 4:21 AMMar 21, 3:59 AM

14571

OptionProbability

120 minutes or longer

Four or more producers listed on wikipedia

$100M or more at box office

135 min or longer

145 min or longer

budget was $50M or more

passes the bechdel test

box office return was at least 2x budget (according to wikipedia)

Male lead actor

Three or more people representing the film on stage during acceptance speech

Budget $150M or more

Female director

300M or more global box office

Distributed by A24

Title has only one word

93

90

83

74

74

74

74

66

52

50

50

39

34

33

22

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Jan 28, 1:58 AMMar 15, 11:59 PM

62.55%chance

389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

77

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