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Top stories

Ford Recalls 499,000 US Vehicles in Latest NHTSA Filings

Authors

4

5 months ago

Prediction markets for 2025

(Playoffs) NFL 2025 Mega-Market: All Games / TV Guide

Oct 27, 6:31 PMFeb 13, 4:59 AM

1701557272

OptionProbability

Rams beat Panthers (01/10) 4:30 PM (NFL+)

Bills beat Jaguars (01/11) 1:00 PM (TBD)

49ers beat Eagles (01/11) 4:30 PM (TBD)

Texans beat Steelers (01/12) 8:15 PM (TBD)

Rams beat Bears (01/18) 6:30 PM (NBC)

New England Patriots beat Denver Broncos (01/25) 3:00 PM (TBD)

Seattle Seahawks beat New England Patriots (02/08) 6:30 PM (TBD)

Packers beat Bears (01/10) 8:00 PM (TBD)

Chargers beat Patriots (01/11) 8:15 PM (TBD)

Bills beat Broncos (01/17) 4:30 PM (CBS)

49ers beat Seahawks (01/17) 8:00PM (FOX)

Texans beat Patriots (01/18) 3:00 PM (ESPN/ABC)

LA Rams beat Seattle Seahawks (01/25) 6:30 PM (TBD)

100

100

100

100

100

100

69

0

0

0

0

0

0

China's rebar failure rate below 20% in 2025 national quality check?

Nov 26, 6:18 AMJul 29, 10:59 PM

95.17%chance

101617471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

444414

22531

Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)

Aug 29, 6:22 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM

1.03%chance

287313287

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133131

2971

Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?

Jun 11, 4:41 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.16%chance

29671549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25751

1590

If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?

Jul 3, 1:56 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

1958288

OptionProbability

Other

Matt Giacona

None— vacant thoughout end of term in Jan 20 2029

Trump not elected President

44

36

19

1

By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?

Nov 17, 12:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.34%chance

21053727

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3220

1309

Will manifold shrink from start of 2025 to 2030?

Feb 15, 9:51 AMFeb 22, 10:59 PM

31.93%chance

2221770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14397

7034

Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025?

Jun 2, 4:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.76%chance

5010335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11171

8526

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.42%chance

226797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15488

6457

Will there be more mana purchased in March 2026 than in December 2025?

Jan 11, 4:53 AMApr 1, 3:52 AM

52.29%chance

334593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6295

3717

Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:27 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Japan

South Korea

Philippines

Other

25

25

25

25

Which country will next change its traffic handedness after 2025?

Aug 22, 11:21 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Myanmar

Thailand

Papua New Guinea

50

50

50

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