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Prediction markets for 2029 Earth
OptionVotes
2207
859
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?
Jan 13, 5:42 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM
16.45%chance
263386
OptionVotes
1373
855
Amazon lets me rent a server located in earth orbit by mid 2029
May 12, 7:03 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
9.95%chance
351230
OptionVotes
1793
847
OptionProbability
27
22
16
11
7
6
6
3
2
2
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?
Jan 13, 4:02 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM
80.25%chance
17737
OptionVotes
1011
841
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?
Feb 21, 4:24 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM
7%chance
9685
OptionVotes
364
27
On April 13, 2029 will Apophis’ approach “thread the keyhole” such that it will impact earth 7 years later?
Apr 15, 12:23 AMApr 22, 3:59 AM
4.73%chance
6469
OptionVotes
685
135
Will a large earthquake rock a major city that isn't in a tectonically active area by end 2029?
Oct 13, 12:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
40.34%chance
10115
OptionVotes
174
131
Will there be 8.5B living humans on earth by the end of 2029? 💀🌎👶
Jan 17, 5:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
56.31%chance
10107
OptionVotes
194
148
OptionVotes
171
134