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Top stories

JAXA Sets Oct. 21 H3 Launch for New HTV-X ISS Cargo Craft

Authors

5

9 months ago

Prediction markets for 2029 Earth

Will we discover alien life before 2029?

Jan 10, 10:53 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

6.19%chance

6613219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2225

858

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 5:42 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM

11.22%chance

263936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1923

768

Amazon lets me rent a server located in earth orbit by mid 2029

May 12, 7:03 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.95%chance

351230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1793

847

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?

Jan 13, 4:02 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

79.43%chance

211107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

806

Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?

Feb 21, 4:24 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

5.02%chance

9775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

435

23

On April 13, 2029 will Apophis’ approach “thread the keyhole” such that it will impact earth 7 years later?

Apr 15, 12:23 AMApr 22, 3:59 AM

4.81%chance

7480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

676

135

Which of these rockets will reach orbit first?

Feb 13, 8:11 AMJan 1, 8:11 AM

4245

OptionProbability

Neutron

Nova

Terran R

Rocket 4

None before 2030

67

15

6

6

6

Will a large earthquake rock a major city that isn't in a tectonically active area by end 2029?

Oct 13, 12:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.61%chance

11204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

117

Will SR-1 Freedom Launch before March 2029?

Mar 26, 6:45 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

56.75%chance

5141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will there be 8.5B living humans on earth by the end of 2029? 💀🌎👶

Jan 17, 5:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.31%chance

10107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

194

148

Will a large impact crater be discovered by 2029?

Dec 10, 11:14 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

31.43%chance

774

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

144

Will space be the cheapest place to put Elon by end of Feb 2029?

Feb 17, 4:11 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

32.39%chance

444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

69

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