24 Hour Market News

This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.

Oct 6, 7:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.06%chance

6610631

OptionVotes

YES

984

788

Will we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?

Jan 26, 11:48 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

58.3%chance

854627

OptionVotes

YES

1412

898

Will we get fusion reactors before 2041?

Mar 1, 11:45 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

71.37%chance

264519

OptionVotes

YES

1452

743

Will we get fusion reactors before 2040?

Feb 23, 12:07 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

64.06%chance

284388

OptionVotes

YES

1301

788

Will we get fusion drives before 2040?

Jun 2, 5:19 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

23.7%chance

152898

OptionVotes

YES

1794

557

GPT-5.6 Sol vs Claude Fable 5, which will be broadly available first?

Jun 26, 5:44 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

62330

OptionProbability

Fable

Same time (within 24 hours)

GPT-5.6 Sol

Daily Coinflip

Jun 26, 4:25 AMJun 28, 3:59 AM

50.5%chance

151920

OptionVotes

YES

10100

9901

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

46.61%chance

211358

OptionVotes

YES

1266

436

Will the total crypto market cap reach >10 trillion USDe before 2030?

Sep 29, 5:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

17671

OptionVotes

YES

1016

978

US Senate 2026 """Safe""" Parlay

Feb 28, 12:45 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

42%chance

11399

OptionVotes

YES

141

this market resolves yes if over 98%, no if under 2%, for 24 consecutive hours

Jun 8, 7:00 PMDec 30, 6:56 PM

48%chance

19272

OptionVotes

YES

104

What will be true of the Polymarket $POLY token airdrop? [ADD ANSWERS]

Oct 24, 11:56 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

2220

OptionProbability

>1 Billion market cap in first 24 hours of trading

Trading volume is part of airdrop formula

Active time on Polymarket is part of airdrop formula

Number of markets traded is part of airdrop formula

>5 Billion market cap in first 24 hours of trading

>10 Billion market cap in first 24 hours of trading

Token has utility related to resolving markets

>25 Billion market cap in first 24 hours of trading

24 Hour Market News

Prediction markets for 24 Hour Market

Prediction markets for 24 Hour Market

Prediction markets for 24 Hour Market

This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.

Will we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2041?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2040?

Will we get fusion drives before 2040?

GPT-5.6 Sol vs Claude Fable 5, which will be broadly available first?

Daily Coinflip

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Will the total crypto market cap reach >10 trillion USDe before 2030?

US Senate 2026 """Safe""" Parlay

this market resolves yes if over 98%, no if under 2%, for 24 consecutive hours

What will be true of the Polymarket $POLY token airdrop? [ADD ANSWERS]

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