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Prediction markets for 25

Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?

Jan 14, 1:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.44%chance

7412334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1927

1123

Which combinations of technology will cause most disruption the world in the next 25 years?

Feb 18, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

348890

OptionProbability

Bitcoin + AI

AI + Medicine

Bitcoin + XR

AI + Robotics

Fintech + AI

AI + Internet

AI + Physics

AI + VR

XR + AI

BCI + Internet

Haptics + BCI

Decentralized IP Verification and Education (Blockchain Credentials)

BCI + Remote sensing

Predictive Markets and Constitutional Alignment of AI

AI+Blockchain

BCI + Dating Apps

Vertical farming + Solar

Nuclear Energy + Transportation

81

62

60

59

52

40

32

30

24

23

17

15

14

9

8

5

5

5

Will Trump golf for at least 25% of his first 6 months?

Apr 25, 4:53 PMOct 25, 4:53 PM

48.06%chance

537792

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1040

962

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.38%chance

54593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5479

1093

Poland: Will PiS popularity drop below 25% in 2025?

Oct 5, 11:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

46.72%chance

92622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

937

Will I be a vendor at over 25 events next year?

Dec 24, 8:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.78%chance

72221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

956

Will Automation by AI Cut Computer Programmer Jobs at least 25% by 2032?

Jan 12, 2:57 AMJan 19, 7:59 AM

79.58%chance

201455

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2017

335

Will the website for Walton Goggins Goggle Glasses (https://gogginsgoggles.com/) exist on December 25, 2025?

Feb 18, 8:54 PMDec 26, 4:59 AM

57.65%chance

101262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1167

857

Will I do chores for 25+ minutes daily until EOY?

Jul 3, 6:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.59%chance

8833

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1444

692

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2032?

Nov 8, 6:18 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

55.5%chance

17514

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

903

Will a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?

Sep 15, 1:33 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

35.08%chance

8400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1360

735

In 2028, will I use a chatbot that can win >25% of Turing test games (defined within) where I am the judge?

Mar 9, 7:59 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

35%chance

10338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

999

995

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