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Prediction markets for 28 Years Later

Will Fed (Kevin Warsh) cut interest rates by July 2026?

Jun 9, 9:55 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

1.54%chance

259791

OptionVotes

YES

NO

800

13

What will I be diagnosed with?

Apr 28, 10:16 AMOct 22, 9:20 AM

211517

OptionProbability

Autism

ADHD

Attachment Disorder

Dysthymia

C-PDSD

Personality Disorder

Intellectual giftedness (130+ IQ)

Substance Use Disorder

Bipolar Disorder

Long COVID

87

86

75

51

38

31

28

23

17

11

When will Anduril Industries IPO?

May 29, 11:56 AMDec 31, 12:55 PM

9847

OptionProbability

Q2 2027

Q3 2027

Q4 2026

Q3 2026

Q1 2027

Q2 2026

Q4 2027

2028 or later

Anduril will not IPO

Q3 2025

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

27

17

14

13

10

4

4

4

4

1

1

1

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 18, 12:02 AMJul 29, 6:25 PM

1.92%chance

7679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

779

19

Which of these highly anticipated movies will have the highest rating on Letterboxd by the end of 2026?

Dec 31, 2:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10245

OptionProbability

Project Hail Mary

Toy Story 5

Dune: Part Three

The Odyssey

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

The Mandalorian and Grogu

28 Years Later: The Bone Temple

Avengers: Doomsday

Disclosure Day

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

Supergirl

The Bride

24

17

15

15

12

4

4

2

2

2

2

2

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 18, 12:01 PMOct 28, 6:25 PM

22.13%chance

479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

62

Will the UK raise the minimum income requirement for family visas above £40,000 before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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