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Prediction markets for 3D

After "Tears of the Kingdom", will there be another new 3D Zelda on the Switch?

Jan 10, 11:30 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

10.83%chance

296766

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1114

964

Will a new 3D Mario platformer be revealed or released in 2026?

Jan 16, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.09%chance

192724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

687

When will the next mainline 3D Mario game be released?

Aug 4, 1:27 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

111173

OptionProbability

Before January 1, 2029

Before July 1, 2028

Before January 1, 2028

Before July 1, 2027

Before January 1, 2027

Before July 1, 2026

Before January 1, 2026

91

81

76

40

13

1

0

Discovery of matter outside our 3D space before 2031?

Mar 5, 10:13 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

5.77%chance

14975

OptionVotes

YES

NO

983

128

Will the next 3D Zelda get over a 94% on OpenCritic?

Dec 31, 7:31 AMJan 7, 7:59 AM

72.52%chance

9248

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

135

Will bones be 3d printable by 2035?

Aug 28, 11:55 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

64.33%chance

16195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1133

916

Will Nintendo release a 3D Mario Maker game within the next two decades?

Sep 23, 6:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.17%chance

9182

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

100

Will a 3D printed android/realdoll of BasedBeffJezos get a girlfriend before BasedBeffJezos gets one?

Jan 23, 7:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.77%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

What year will 3D TVs make a comeback

Jul 29, 8:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3120

OptionProbability

Other

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2026

2024

2025

62

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

3

2

2

Will a 3D printed android/realdoll/digital twin of gwern get a girlfriend before gwern gets one?

Feb 1, 4:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.68%chance

8101

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

60

Will we know if there is an infinite cluster for critical bond percolation on the 3D integer lattice by 2035?

May 27, 1:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.96%chance

260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

961

Will the USA pass a content filtering law covering 3D-printed or other independently manufactured guns?

Jan 22, 2:53 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

47.51%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

951

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