50 First Dates News

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

22.32%chance

48290606

OptionVotes

YES

7778

4822

What is going on with David Grusch's UFO claims?

Sep 18, 12:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12977307

OptionProbability

Massive fraud

Multiple counts of perjury

Advanced human technology

Non-human intelligence

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

Jan 8, 2:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

268762

OptionProbability

Never or after 1/1/2030

1/1/2028-12/31/2028

1/1/2029-12/31/2029

1/1/2027-12/31/2027

1/1/2026-12/31/2026

Before 2026

Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $500 before $50?

Feb 13, 12:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

90.15%chance

243133

OptionVotes

YES

1618

Will Amazon fully acquire, acqui‑hire, or own ≥ 50 % of Anthropic before 2029

Jun 10, 10:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.73%chance

162115

OptionVotes

YES

3045

328

What is the One Piece?

Jul 10, 8:52 PMAug 9, 6:51 PM

241720

OptionProbability

None of the options submitted before the One Piece is revealed

Binks' Sake

Other

A Poneglyph

A single piece of currency (e.g. one coin)

An ancient tool which might not technically be a weapon.

The friends they made along the way

A giant pile of gold and jewels

An ancient weapon

Pineapples

A text, not written on a poneglyph

Will the first self-driving car company to deploy in 50 cities use an end-to-end approach?

Oct 6, 1:13 PMJan 14, 4:59 AM

72.59%chance

181548

OptionVotes

YES

1736

350

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

28.12%chance

251306

OptionVotes

YES

1669

510

Will China launch nine aircraft carriers by the end of 2035?

Dec 24, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19%chance

11383

OptionVotes

YES

206

Will a fully AI-generated song reach Billboard Top 10 by 2027?

Dec 18, 3:20 AMJan 30, 3:59 PM

6240

OptionProbability

Jan-Jun 2027

Jul-Dec 2027

Jul-Dec 2026

Jan-Jun 2026

Will Salesforce announce a sale to a major AI/tech company within 365 days of the first OpenAI or Anthropic listing?

Oct 4, 12:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2206

OptionProbability

First public listing occurs, but no qualifying acquisition announced in the window

Qualifying Salesforce acquisition announced

Neither OpenAI nor Anthropic publicly listed by December 31, 2028

If it passes, when will Pittsburgh's paid parental leave ordinance take effect?

Oct 23, 3:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Before Nov 2027

Before Jan 2028

Before Apr 2028

Before Jul 2028

Before Jan 2029

Before Jan 2030

50 First Dates News

Prediction markets for 50 First Dates

Prediction markets for 50 First Dates

Prediction markets for 50 First Dates

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

What is going on with David Grusch's UFO claims?

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $500 before $50?

Will Amazon fully acquire, acqui‑hire, or own ≥ 50 % of Anthropic before 2029

What is the One Piece?

Will the first self-driving car company to deploy in 50 cities use an end-to-end approach?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Will China launch nine aircraft carriers by the end of 2035?

Will a fully AI-generated song reach Billboard Top 10 by 2027?

Will Salesforce announce a sale to a major AI/tech company within 365 days of the first OpenAI or Anthropic listing?

If it passes, when will Pittsburgh's paid parental leave ordinance take effect?

Latest stories

Will Amazon fully acquire, acqui‑hire, or own ≥ 50 % of Anthropic before 2029