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50 First Dates News

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.66%chance

48290312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7387

4939

What is going on with David Grusch's UFO claims?

Sep 18, 12:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12977307

OptionProbability

Massive fraud

Multiple counts of perjury

Advanced human technology

Non-human intelligence

36

31

23

9

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

Jan 8, 2:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

268762

OptionProbability

Never or after 1/1/2030

1/1/2028-12/31/2028

1/1/2029-12/31/2029

1/1/2027-12/31/2027

1/1/2026-12/31/2026

Before 2026

83

8

8

7

4

0

Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $500 before $50?

Feb 13, 12:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

90.15%chance

243133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1618

82

Will Amazon fully acquire, acqui‑hire, or own ≥ 50 % of Anthropic before 2029

Jun 10, 10:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.73%chance

162115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3045

328

What is the One Piece?

Jul 10, 8:52 PMAug 9, 6:51 PM

241720

OptionProbability

None of the options submitted before the One Piece is revealed

Binks' Sake

Other

A Poneglyph

A single piece of currency (e.g. one coin)

An ancient tool which might not technically be a weapon.

The friends they made along the way

A giant pile of gold and jewels

An ancient weapon

Pineapples

A text, not written on a poneglyph

68

22

4

3

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

Will the first self-driving car company to deploy in 50 cities use an end-to-end approach?

Oct 6, 1:13 PMJan 14, 4:59 AM

72.59%chance

181548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1736

350

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

28.12%chance

251306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1669

510

Will China launch nine aircraft carriers by the end of 2035?

Dec 24, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19%chance

11383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

206

48

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Nov 15, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

4281

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

100

72

59

45

Will a fully AI-generated song reach Billboard Top 10 by 2027?

Dec 18, 3:20 AMJan 30, 3:59 PM

6240

OptionProbability

Jan-Jun 2027

Jul-Dec 2027

Jul-Dec 2026

Jan-Jun 2026

41

40

10

9

CTO.new: When do free frontier-model tokens end?

Oct 19, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1108

OptionProbability

Q3 2026

Q2 2026

Q1 2026

Q4 2026

H1 2027

H2 2027

H1 2028

H2 2028

Q4 2025

Not before 2029

21

19

8

8

8

8

8

8

7

4

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